🌐 Cross-market macro outlook

In the US, September non-farm payrolls rose by only 29,000, far below the market expectation of 90,000; the unemployment rate climbed to 4.2%. The labor market is clearly cooling, and expectations for the Fed to cut rates again later this year have started to rise. The US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened after the non-farm data. Gold has been supported by both safe-haven demand and renewed rate-cut expectations, maintaining a strong trend. Overall, the macro backdrop remains risk-asset friendly.

📊 Core dynamics in the crypto market

After the non-farm data release, BTC briefly surged to $88,000. Shorts were forced out in liquidations exceeding $120 million, followed by pullback pressure triggered by geopolitical disruptions. US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net inflow of $102.7 million on the first trading day of October, sending a clear institutional long signal. Citi raised its 12-month BTC target price to $113,000. For ETH, zkAPI has gone live on Ethereum mainnet, supporting privacy-preserving AI payments with zero-knowledge proofs—ecosystem innovation continues to advance.

🔥 Key assets to watch today

① ENJ / MANA — The metaverse sector leads today. ENJ is up more than 20%, with MANA following closely. The sector moves in sync, short-term sentiment is active, and you can watch whether the volume remains sustained.

② WLD — Up about 10% on the day. Combined with the zkAPI launch on ETH, the privacy computation narrative is gaining traction. The capital flows into the AI + privacy track are worth continued monitoring.

③ QNT — In the cross-chain interoperability track, the AI signal indicates a 76.9% short-side win rate. It may be suitable for swing setups; watch how it performs near key resistance levels.

💡 Strategy ideas

With macro rate-cut expectations heating up and ETF inflows continuing, the medium-term logic for BTC remains largely bullish. In the short term, if it pulls back toward around $85,000 and volume contracts, it could be viewed as a right-side entry opportunity. Meanwhile, keep an eye on whether the metaverse sector shows ongoing capital rotation, to avoid chasing a single asset at highs. Risk management comes first—do not carry overly heavy positions.

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