◆ Morning Briefing · Oct 03

Bonjour. Welcome to Wall Street High Wealth Invest Channel.
Good morning.

【Core Takeaway】
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed higher on the prior trading day, but the 10-Year Treasury Yield rose to 5.277%. It’s uncommon for both equities and rates to move in the same direction like that. Our stance: maintain positions; don’t chase gains.

【Overnight Markets】
On the previous trading day (2026-10-02), the S&P 500 closed at 7,722.7, up 0.73%; the Nasdaq closed at 27,190.9, up 1.19%; and the VIX closed at 15.3, down 6.59%. Over the past week, the S&P 500 is down 0.27% and the Nasdaq is up 0.45%, with the indexes consolidating in a narrow range. The DXY closed at 101.9, down 0.17%, but it remains up 2.37% over the past month. No Asia-market data was provided in this update, so we won’t speculate.

【Today’s Headlines】
September’s nonfarm payrolls added only 29,000. With costs rising, employers are recruiting cautiously, and the 2-year and 5-year Treasury yields briefly returned to pre-data levels. However, the 10-year yield still climbed by 4.0 basis points to 5.277% on the day, suggesting the market isn’t reading this data as a reason to loosen policy. Goolsbee said that whether it comes to a rate hike or holding steady, there is room for any option—which matches our view: the Fed won’t give up its grip on inflation due to a somewhat weak employment report. Slowing jobs alongside rising yields puts pressure on valuations rather than providing support.

【Smart Money Watch】
· Berkshire Hathaway: Bought 6.6 million shares of LEN on 09-28~09-30 at an average price of $81.59; increased holdings to 26.03 million shares (Form 4, filed 09-30)
· ARK (Cathie Wood): Added to TSLA by +11% in ARK K, about $83.2M (10-02 holdings)
· ARK (Cathie Wood): Added to SPCX by +11% in ARK K, about $55.7M (10-02 holdings)
· U.S. Rep. Cleo Fields: Bought GOOG on 09-14 for $1,001–$15,000 (PTR, filed 10-01)
Our interpretation: Berkshire added to LEN around the $81.59 area, lifting it to 26.03 million shares—contrasting with ARK’s adding to TSLA and SPCX. The former looks more like a counter-cyclical allocation in a period where rates and the real-estate cycle face pressure; the latter is still an extension of high-beta behavior. The GOOG purchase amount range is too small to be very informative. Please note that these are all delayed, publicly filed disclosures—Form 4 updates within two business days, 13F on a quarterly basis, and lawmakers’ reports up to 45 days—so they’re clues about capital preference, not signal for copying.

【Notable Movers】
· PENG +12.3%: 10-01 Zacks: “Penguin Solutions' AI Backlog Grows: Is Future Sales Taking…”. If AI backlog expansion is true, it’s an improvement in fundamentals rather than pure sentiment—but after a one-day rally, watch for pullback risk.
· WDC -10.0%: 10-02 Barrons.com: “Seagate Stock and Western Digital Tumble. Investors Worry t…”. The storage sector is under pressure and moving lower. If concerns are coming from the demand side rather than valuation, the short pressure may not have been fully released yet.

【Holdings Update】
The seven positions previously made public have not yet reached the limit order prices. We stick to the original plan and won’t raise bids.

【Impact on Crypto】
BTC is trading at $84,615, up 0.11% over the past 24 hours, largely flat. As the 10-year Treasury yield rose by 4.0 basis points to 5.277%, the carrying cost of zero/low-yield assets is pushed higher—this is the most direct transmission to BTC right now. In an environment where rates haven’t peaked, we won’t treat the sideways move as an entry signal; we’ll keep leverage positions cautiously and won’t add.

【Our View for Today】
Today we lean toward a modest pullback in risk appetite: high-valuation assets sensitive to rates face relative pressure, while the appeal of cash and short-end yields rises. Positioning remains neutral—we won’t add Leverage. New Long entries will be built in batches during pullbacks, with a pre-set Stop Loss.

$BTC $XAU $XAG #BTC #Macro

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