Just now, the U.S. September Non-Farm Payrolls data was released. It only increased by 29,000. The expectation was 90,000. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%. So it looks like expectations for further rate hikes need to be adjusted again. The big mountain pressing down on Bitcoin has started to loosen. But you still need to be careful. This looks like a potential false breakout. Then a pullback will sweep out long positions’ stop losses.
Why do I say that? Because after the data comes out, the market’s first reaction is definitely bullish for risk assets—so a short-term jump in Bitcoin is completely normal. But don’t forget: this kind of data-driven market is best at the pattern of “give you sugar first, then slap you in the face.” The main players may use the good news to surge quickly upward, luring in FOMO retail traders who chase longs, and then suddenly turn around and drop sharply, sweeping all the stop losses from the newly opened long trades, before choosing a new direction again.
So at this point, don’t rush to chase. If you really want to take action, wait for two scenarios: first, a breakout with strong volume above the previous high and holding firm—if the pullback doesn’t break, then that’s the real breakout; second, after a false breakout, there is a quick drop to wash out the longs—then you can look for an opportunity to re-enter. Remember, Non-Farm night never lacks opportunities—what it lacks is patience. Don’t let a single bullish candle change your worldview. Risk control always comes first.
#比特币资金费率升至10%未平仓合约回升 #比特币站上8.6万美元涨2.99% #美国9月非农仅增2.9万人失业率升至4.2% #BTC走势分析 #ETH走势分析 $BTC
$ETH
Why do I say that? Because after the data comes out, the market’s first reaction is definitely bullish for risk assets—so a short-term jump in Bitcoin is completely normal. But don’t forget: this kind of data-driven market is best at the pattern of “give you sugar first, then slap you in the face.” The main players may use the good news to surge quickly upward, luring in FOMO retail traders who chase longs, and then suddenly turn around and drop sharply, sweeping all the stop losses from the newly opened long trades, before choosing a new direction again.
So at this point, don’t rush to chase. If you really want to take action, wait for two scenarios: first, a breakout with strong volume above the previous high and holding firm—if the pullback doesn’t break, then that’s the real breakout; second, after a false breakout, there is a quick drop to wash out the longs—then you can look for an opportunity to re-enter. Remember, Non-Farm night never lacks opportunities—what it lacks is patience. Don’t let a single bullish candle change your worldview. Risk control always comes first.
#比特币资金费率升至10%未平仓合约回升 #比特币站上8.6万美元涨2.99% #美国9月非农仅增2.9万人失业率升至4.2% #BTC走势分析 #ETH走势分析 $BTC
$ETH
