On October 2, the nonfarm data further reinforced the view that momentum in the U.S. labor market is cooling. According to the CME’s “FedWatch” tool, traders currently expect a probability of 83% that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady at its October meeting, up from 72% before the employment report was released. The probability of a rate hike fell from 28% to 17%. Rate expectations have also eased.
Meanwhile, pricing for federal funds rate futures shows that the market expects that, by the end of 2026, the Federal Reserve will have raised rates by a cumulative total of about 22.2 basis points—below the 25.5 basis points expected before the data was released. #比特币资金费率升至10%未平仓合约回升
Meanwhile, pricing for federal funds rate futures shows that the market expects that, by the end of 2026, the Federal Reserve will have raised rates by a cumulative total of about 22.2 basis points—below the 25.5 basis points expected before the data was released. #比特币资金费率升至10%未平仓合约回升
