Today at midday, BTC surged from around 84,000 to the vicinity of 86,888, approaching the 87,000 pressure zone. There are roughly three reasons for the rise: first, the rate-hike expectations have dropped sharply—by October, the probability of another hike fell from about 70% to a little over 20%; second, BTC has shown relative strength—while Asian stock markets weakened, BTC still outperformed; third, institutional support—ETF inflows have returned, and their target prices have been raised.
Tonight at 20:30, the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Expectations are for about 84,000 new jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.1%. The forecast range is wide, so the volatility could be intense. If the data comes in soft, the move could push through 87,000 toward 90,000; if it matches expectations, it may consolidate between 85,000 and 87,000; if it beats expectations and wages accelerate, rate-hike bets may bounce back—this sharp rally could face profit-taking.
Key levels: resistance at 87,000 above; support at 85,000 below. Can 87,000 flip from resistance to support? If 85,000 is lost, look for 83,000. Sudden data spikes can amplify moves—don’t chase and don’t go all-in. $BTC #非农 #比特币
Tonight at 20:30, the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Expectations are for about 84,000 new jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.1%. The forecast range is wide, so the volatility could be intense. If the data comes in soft, the move could push through 87,000 toward 90,000; if it matches expectations, it may consolidate between 85,000 and 87,000; if it beats expectations and wages accelerate, rate-hike bets may bounce back—this sharp rally could face profit-taking.
Key levels: resistance at 87,000 above; support at 85,000 below. Can 87,000 flip from resistance to support? If 85,000 is lost, look for 83,000. Sudden data spikes can amplify moves—don’t chase and don’t go all-in. $BTC #非农 #比特币