#fil FIL/USDT — analysis...
On the charts, I see the full hierarchy W1 → D1 → H4 → H1 → M15 → M5. The current price in the screenshots is about 1.0354 USDT; external quotes also show FIL roughly in the $1.02–1.04 range.
1. NARRATIVE — key
W1:
From the 0.6076 SSL area, there was a strong bullish delivery → the price rose to 1.231–1.322. After that, a major bearish delivery began.
D1:
1.231 BSL was taken → bearish delivery → price returned to the 1.00 area.
Then, from 0.6076, a strong recovery formed. Right now the market is roughly in the middle between major HTF levels.
H4:
After the 1.231 high, price formed a drop to ~1.00–0.99, after which a bullish reaction appeared. The last upward impulse broke the local structure around 1.02 and delivered price to 1.046.
H1/M15:
After the bullish displacement from the 1.01–1.02 area, price is currently consolidating roughly in this range:
1.030 → 1.046
That is, the current price is inside the local range, not at a POI.
Main logic
0.6076 SSL → bullish delivery → 1.231 BSL → bearish delivery → 0.99–1.00 SSL → bullish displacement → 1.046 BSL → currently consolidating.
So there’s no need to chase the current price.
2. Key liquidity
BSL
1.042–1.046 — nearest local BSL
1.050–1.060 — the next liquidity area
1.090–1.091 — important H1 BSL
1.13–1.20 — HTF liquidity
1.231 — major HTF BSL
SSL
1.029–1.030 — nearest local SSL
1.020–1.021 — internal SSL / zone of the previous displacement
1.004–1.006 — strong H1/H4 support
0.9885 — important SSL
0.974 — the next zone for a deeper bearish delivery
3. LONG scenario 🟢
LONG POI #1: 1.028–1.021
This is the most logical zone to look for continuation of the bullish delivery.
But the entry isn’t a blind limit order.
We’re waiting for:
SSL sweep → 5M MSS → bullish displacement → FVG/IFVG retest → LONG
Targets:
TP1: 1.042
TP2: 1.046
TP3: 1.055–1.060
TP4: 1.090
TP5: 1.13+
If after the sweep price quickly returns to 1.030 and a strong 5M displacement up appears, that will be confirmation.
LONG POI #2 — deep delivery
1.006–0.988
If the market doesn’t hold 1.02 and starts a deeper correction, a much more interesting HTF zone is located here.
Especially important:
0.9885 SSL sweep → MSS → displacement → FVG/IFVG retest.
With this scenario, the targets are again:
1.02 → 1.046 → 1.06 → 1.09
4. SHORT scenario 🔴
I don’t like shorting directly from 1.035 right now — the price is inside the range.
Interest appears higher.
SHORT POI: 1.042–1.052
The ideal scenario:
BSL sweep 1.046 → bearish MSS on 5M → displacement → FVG/IFVG retest → SHORT
Targets:
TP1: 1.030
TP2: 1.021
TP3: 1.005
TP4: 0.9885
If after taking 1.046 price doesn’t show bearish MSS and instead accepts price above 1.046, then the short scenario loses relevance.
5. What M5 shows
On M5, after the upward impulse, price moved into a small consolidation around 1.03–1.04.
So the structure now looks like this:
Bullish displacement → consolidation → awaiting liquidity to be taken
We need to wait for one of two things:
Option A
SSL 1.029–1.030 → sweep → MSS up → LONG
Option B
BSL 1.042–1.046 → sweep → MSS down → SHORT
And only then do we look for the FVG/IFVG retest.
FIL/USDT — INTRADAY PLAN ⚡
Story:
0.6076 SSL → bullish delivery → 1.231 BSL → bearish delivery → 0.99 SSL → bullish displacement → 1.046 BSL.
Right now the price is around 1.035 and is in the middle of the local range.
🟢 LONG POI: 1.028–1.021
Waiting for an SSL sweep → 5M MSS → bullish displacement → FVG/IFVG retest
🟢 Deep LONG POI: 1.006–0.988
Only after the reversal is confirmed.
🔴 SHORT POI: 1.042–1.052
Only after the BSL sweep → bearish MSS → displacement → FVG/IFVG retest
🎯 Upside:
1.042 → 1.046 → 1.055–1.060 → 1.090 → 1.13
🎯 Downside:
1.030 → 1.021 → 1.005 → 0.988
Key rule:
Don’t chase price in the 1.030–1.046 range. First: Liquidity → MSS → Displacement → Retest → Delivery.
External daily data also shows that on October 2 FIL traded roughly from $1.01 to $1.05, which matches the range marked on the chart. $FIL
