◆ Evening Brief · October 02
Bonsoir. Welcome to Wall Street High Wealth Invest Channel.
Good evening.
【Key Takeaway】
ARM’s rebound of +1.34% yesterday fell within a 5.1% range, and it is high-volatility consolidation after a rally rather than confirmation of a trend reversal. We suggest placing a Short order at 294.522, leverage no more than 11x, with a Target of 275.840 and a Stop Loss at 307.265.
【Position Update】
Of the 7 positions previously made public, we have so far reached 2:
· ARM triggered a Short at 294.522 (published 2 days ago), +0.08%, and with 11x leverage the PnL is +1%
· WDC triggered a Short at 462.164 (published 12 days ago), +0.23%, and with 17x leverage the PnL is +4%
The other positions have not been touched yet—we maintain the original plan.
【Market Temperature】
The Fear & Greed Index is 72, sitting in the Greed zone. It has risen further versus the prior reading, indicating that long positions are already quite crowded. In this situation we won’t chase price; we’d rather wait for price to come back to the levels we planned.
【Macro View】
The eurozone’s September CPI initial year-on-year reading is 3.8%, higher than expectations and the prior value—confirming again that inflation persistence remains sticky. A Fed official, Logan, clearly stated that at least 50 bps of additional rate hikes should still be made, which aligns with our assessment of a hawkish path. The 10-Year Treasury Yield fell by 5.6 bps to 5.237%, and the DXY was -0.14% on the day, but over the past month it is still +2.41%, meaning the dollar’s strength is unchanged. Brent crude’s intraday decline widened to 3%, now around $99.43 per barrel. The EU’s discussion about releasing diesel and crude inventories provides marginal upside to easing inflation on the energy front, but it is not enough to change the policy direction. BTC is trading at $86,370, up +1.76% over 24 hours. With the macro backdrop being tight and positioned in the Greed zone, such gains are more likely to be interpreted as leverage-driven rather than fundamentals-driven. If Rate Hike expectations continue to strengthen, the liquidation risk of high-leverage positions will be significantly amplified. Accordingly, we remain restrained with overall positioning and leverage, and we do not adjust our framework based on a single-day rebound.
【Key Asset｜ARM】
Yesterday’s turnover was only $0.027 billion, yet the price moved within a 5.1% range. This suggests the incremental capital driving this rebound is limited—it looks more like a sentiment repair than a trend restart. 294.522 is 0.08% above the current price and forms the marginal supply zone from yesterday’s rebound. If price gets pushed back down from there, it confirms that sell pressure remains above; the Short is valid and it opens room toward 275.840. If it is decisively broken through, it means bulls have regained that zone and our prior assessment is invalid; we exit at the Stop Loss of 307.265—no adding or averaging down. The purpose of capital preservation is not to be right on every trade, but that when the thesis is disproven, the loss stays confined within the pre-set range.
【Pending Orders Plan】
Below are the remaining 7 allocation recommendations for tonight. Please consider them alongside your own positioning:
· AAPL: Suggest placing a Long order at 323.764｜TP 329.681｜SL 319.728｜Leverage ≤20x
· WDC: Suggest placing a Short order at 462.164｜TP 447.309｜SL 472.296｜Leverage ≤17x
· COIN: Suggest placing a Long order at 179.359｜TP 187.248｜SL 173.977｜Leverage ≤14x
· HIMS: Suggest placing a Short order at 29.818｜TP 28.959｜SL 30.404｜Leverage ≤18x
· BMNR: Suggest placing a Long order at 24.954｜TP 26.166｜SL 24.128｜Leverage ≤13x
· PLTR: Suggest placing a Long order at 175.711｜TP 180.870｜SL 172.192｜Leverage ≤18x
· META: Suggest placing a Long order at 666.995｜TP 698.082｜SL 645.790｜Leverage ≤14x
【Customer Service】
If you cannot monitor the market tonight, simply place your Limit Orders—the execution is left to discipline. We will verify the intraday trigger status and PnL and report back to you during the session. If you’d like to discuss your specific positions and capital size in more detail, feel free to contact us privately.
$BTC $ARM $AAPL #BTC #TokenizedStocks
Your private advisor on Wall Street.
Bonne nuit.
Bonsoir. Welcome to Wall Street High Wealth Invest Channel.
Good evening.
【Key Takeaway】
ARM’s rebound of +1.34% yesterday fell within a 5.1% range, and it is high-volatility consolidation after a rally rather than confirmation of a trend reversal. We suggest placing a Short order at 294.522, leverage no more than 11x, with a Target of 275.840 and a Stop Loss at 307.265.
【Position Update】
Of the 7 positions previously made public, we have so far reached 2:
· ARM triggered a Short at 294.522 (published 2 days ago), +0.08%, and with 11x leverage the PnL is +1%
· WDC triggered a Short at 462.164 (published 12 days ago), +0.23%, and with 17x leverage the PnL is +4%
The other positions have not been touched yet—we maintain the original plan.
【Market Temperature】
The Fear & Greed Index is 72, sitting in the Greed zone. It has risen further versus the prior reading, indicating that long positions are already quite crowded. In this situation we won’t chase price; we’d rather wait for price to come back to the levels we planned.
【Macro View】
The eurozone’s September CPI initial year-on-year reading is 3.8%, higher than expectations and the prior value—confirming again that inflation persistence remains sticky. A Fed official, Logan, clearly stated that at least 50 bps of additional rate hikes should still be made, which aligns with our assessment of a hawkish path. The 10-Year Treasury Yield fell by 5.6 bps to 5.237%, and the DXY was -0.14% on the day, but over the past month it is still +2.41%, meaning the dollar’s strength is unchanged. Brent crude’s intraday decline widened to 3%, now around $99.43 per barrel. The EU’s discussion about releasing diesel and crude inventories provides marginal upside to easing inflation on the energy front, but it is not enough to change the policy direction. BTC is trading at $86,370, up +1.76% over 24 hours. With the macro backdrop being tight and positioned in the Greed zone, such gains are more likely to be interpreted as leverage-driven rather than fundamentals-driven. If Rate Hike expectations continue to strengthen, the liquidation risk of high-leverage positions will be significantly amplified. Accordingly, we remain restrained with overall positioning and leverage, and we do not adjust our framework based on a single-day rebound.
【Key Asset｜ARM】
Yesterday’s turnover was only $0.027 billion, yet the price moved within a 5.1% range. This suggests the incremental capital driving this rebound is limited—it looks more like a sentiment repair than a trend restart. 294.522 is 0.08% above the current price and forms the marginal supply zone from yesterday’s rebound. If price gets pushed back down from there, it confirms that sell pressure remains above; the Short is valid and it opens room toward 275.840. If it is decisively broken through, it means bulls have regained that zone and our prior assessment is invalid; we exit at the Stop Loss of 307.265—no adding or averaging down. The purpose of capital preservation is not to be right on every trade, but that when the thesis is disproven, the loss stays confined within the pre-set range.
【Pending Orders Plan】
Below are the remaining 7 allocation recommendations for tonight. Please consider them alongside your own positioning:
· AAPL: Suggest placing a Long order at 323.764｜TP 329.681｜SL 319.728｜Leverage ≤20x
· WDC: Suggest placing a Short order at 462.164｜TP 447.309｜SL 472.296｜Leverage ≤17x
· COIN: Suggest placing a Long order at 179.359｜TP 187.248｜SL 173.977｜Leverage ≤14x
· HIMS: Suggest placing a Short order at 29.818｜TP 28.959｜SL 30.404｜Leverage ≤18x
· BMNR: Suggest placing a Long order at 24.954｜TP 26.166｜SL 24.128｜Leverage ≤13x
· PLTR: Suggest placing a Long order at 175.711｜TP 180.870｜SL 172.192｜Leverage ≤18x
· META: Suggest placing a Long order at 666.995｜TP 698.082｜SL 645.790｜Leverage ≤14x
【Customer Service】
If you cannot monitor the market tonight, simply place your Limit Orders—the execution is left to discipline. We will verify the intraday trigger status and PnL and report back to you during the session. If you’d like to discuss your specific positions and capital size in more detail, feel free to contact us privately.
$BTC $ARM $AAPL #BTC #TokenizedStocks
Your private advisor on Wall Street.
Bonne nuit.
