$BTC sort de la boîte $82k-$85k
This night (UTC), Bitcoin reached a new high around $86.9k, before stabilizing around $86.1k. Even yesterday, the market was talking about consolidation just below $85k. The breakout is clear, but it comes right before the US jobs report (NFP, Oct 2, 12:30 UTC).
Facts (Kraken / Coinbase):
• 1h high ~$86,866 around 04:00 UTC (Kraken); Coinbase ~$86,885
• Spot ~$86.1k at the time of this note
• Volume clearly higher on the breakout candle
• Current week: third consecutive week of gains (Investing.com)
Why it matters:
The “Uptober” narrative is back after a strong September (+6.4%). Historically, Bitcoin has risen on 10 out of 15 Octobers (average gains ~27%, Investing.com). But today, the real filter is the NFP. An overly strong print could revive bets on a rate hike by the Fed and calm risk.
Scenarios (interpretation, not advice):
1) Hold above $85k after NFP: the old resistance becomes support, opening a path toward $88k-$90k.
2) Rejection below $85k: back into the prior range, with $82k still in view.
3) NFP surprise: two-way volatility on $BTC and $ETH , regardless of the bias.
Are you playing continuation above $85k, or fading before the print?
#Bitcoin #Uptober #Crypto
This night (UTC), Bitcoin reached a new high around $86.9k, before stabilizing around $86.1k. Even yesterday, the market was talking about consolidation just below $85k. The breakout is clear, but it comes right before the US jobs report (NFP, Oct 2, 12:30 UTC).
Facts (Kraken / Coinbase):
• 1h high ~$86,866 around 04:00 UTC (Kraken); Coinbase ~$86,885
• Spot ~$86.1k at the time of this note
• Volume clearly higher on the breakout candle
• Current week: third consecutive week of gains (Investing.com)
Why it matters:
The “Uptober” narrative is back after a strong September (+6.4%). Historically, Bitcoin has risen on 10 out of 15 Octobers (average gains ~27%, Investing.com). But today, the real filter is the NFP. An overly strong print could revive bets on a rate hike by the Fed and calm risk.
Scenarios (interpretation, not advice):
1) Hold above $85k after NFP: the old resistance becomes support, opening a path toward $88k-$90k.
2) Rejection below $85k: back into the prior range, with $82k still in view.
3) NFP surprise: two-way volatility on $BTC and $ETH , regardless of the bias.
Are you playing continuation above $85k, or fading before the print?
#Bitcoin #Uptober #Crypto
