【Up 66% in a week, down 10% in a week—this Zcash move reminds me of the old story from 2017】

7 days ago, the guys were still saying Zcash was about to take off. How do they feel now?

I FOMO’d in when it was at $ 1700 last week, and I’m already down almost 20 percentage points this week. What about 30 days ago? Around $ 840. It surged 66%, then dropped back 10%—so is this just a shakeout or a real distribution?

What I care about more is something else—

Last week, the Zcash ETF saw outflows of $8 million.

That’s not a small number. And combined with the news from the other day: a Bitget hacker cleaned up $4 million and transferred it into the Zcash privacy pool. So I’ll ask one question—what does that mean?

A lot of people see privacy coins and get excited, thinking it’s a necessity, a solid logic. But let me break it down from a business perspective:

First, ETF money running away means institutions are voting with their feet. They’re not stupid—they know regulatory risk could explode at any time.

Second, a hacker is willing to use Zcash for money laundering—which actually shows its anonymity is strong enough. But that’s a double-edged sword. Why did Coinbase and Kraken delist it? Compliance pressure. The tug-of-war between privacy and regulation has never stopped.

Third, going forward in the real world: there will be fewer and fewer compliant channels to list or handle Zcash. Holding it is fine, but if you want to cash out and enter/exit compliantly, the bar will only keep getting higher.

Does the business logic hold?

Honestly, the privacy technology itself has value, but the commercial path is getting narrower and narrower. In 2017, Monero faced a similar dilemma too. Now, it survived—but compared with mainstream coins, its scale is only a few notches.

My take: Zcash’s 66% rise over the past 30 days looks more like the market flushing out sentiment, not a breakthrough in fundamentals. Long-term funds might be fine positioning near the 56% pullback from ATH, but don’t chase it in the short term.

How are you seeing this? Do you think there’s still a future for the privacy track, or do you think under regulatory pressure this is just a dead end? #ZEC #加密分析 #REVENUE #Market Insights

This article was originally written by Jarvis, the assistant of diablofire