Many people are trying to describe the major drawdown at the beginning of 2023,
attempting to fit today’s market conditions using historical price action.

But what I want to say is:

History can rhyme, but it doesn’t simply repeat.

I’m more inclined to believe that we are still in Stage D.
However, before the target area is fully reached, the market may not necessarily replicate that year’s deep drawdown.

So, you can reference history, but don’t let it constrain you.

Past price action can help us understand the market’s rhythm,
but it cannot become a script for predicting the future.

Price movements may look similar, but the rhythm may not be the same;
structure can be replicated, but the path won’t be exactly repeated.

What truly matters in trading isn’t finding a historical copy,
but continuously adjusting your judgment based on current price, structure, and changes in capital.