$Lobster In these 15 minutes, it really got me.
Down 8.5%, volume dry at 3.44x, Z-score 3.23—this is not a normal needle-insertion. It’s a downward smash with volume. More importantly—price is falling, but OI is still rising.
15-minute OI +0.18%, 1-hour only down 1.36%, but the nominal change is -6.7M. What does that mean? Old positions are being reduced, while new shorts are moving in. OI’s abnormal percentile is 98.8%, 2nd in the whole pool, nominal change 3rd. This kind of data doesn’t show up more than a few times a week.
By the close, it has already broken below the lower edge of the last 20-plus 5m K lines. Active traded volume difference is -3.8%, buy-sell ratio 0.93. Selling pressure isn’t crazy, but the support is clearly thin. In the past 24 hours, trading volume is over 500 million, and the pool is deep—so this drop isn’t just liquidity being drained. Someone is genuinely pushing it with real money.
At this level, it’s either the shorts’ final wave of acceleration, or the start of a new trend. If multiple consecutive cycles continue and depth is confirmed, I won’t guess the direction—I’ll just wait for one signal: if OI keeps increasing and price doesn’t rebound, then the newly added leveraged shorts are still adding fuel; if OI rapidly falls back and price reclaims the range, then it’s a fake breakout.
$Lobster This underlying usually stays quiet. Once it moves, it turns into an extreme range. Don’t rush to catch the bottom—first see how it closes this candle.
Down 8.5%, volume dry at 3.44x, Z-score 3.23—this is not a normal needle-insertion. It’s a downward smash with volume. More importantly—price is falling, but OI is still rising.
15-minute OI +0.18%, 1-hour only down 1.36%, but the nominal change is -6.7M. What does that mean? Old positions are being reduced, while new shorts are moving in. OI’s abnormal percentile is 98.8%, 2nd in the whole pool, nominal change 3rd. This kind of data doesn’t show up more than a few times a week.
By the close, it has already broken below the lower edge of the last 20-plus 5m K lines. Active traded volume difference is -3.8%, buy-sell ratio 0.93. Selling pressure isn’t crazy, but the support is clearly thin. In the past 24 hours, trading volume is over 500 million, and the pool is deep—so this drop isn’t just liquidity being drained. Someone is genuinely pushing it with real money.
At this level, it’s either the shorts’ final wave of acceleration, or the start of a new trend. If multiple consecutive cycles continue and depth is confirmed, I won’t guess the direction—I’ll just wait for one signal: if OI keeps increasing and price doesn’t rebound, then the newly added leveraged shorts are still adding fuel; if OI rapidly falls back and price reclaims the range, then it’s a fake breakout.
$Lobster This underlying usually stays quiet. Once it moves, it turns into an extreme range. Don’t rush to catch the bottom—first see how it closes this candle.