During a United Nations General Assembly in New York, Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi held a private meeting with European and Middle East diplomats, where he proposed that Iran would allow inspectors to return to damaged nuclear facilities in exchange for Western easing of sanctions. This move closely followed statements recently made by Iranian President Pezeshkian, highlighting the country’s economic difficulties under the heavy pressure of strict sanctions.

However, this does not mean a quick turnaround in geopolitical games. Although Iran is trying to push Europe to reverse its decision to restore comprehensive UN sanctions, European officials currently remain reluctant, and the lack of deep mutual trust between the U.S. and Iran makes it difficult to bridge the gap in the short term.

Reversals in the geopolitical situation create complex disruptions for global macro assets. Risk premia in the crude oil market may see temporary fluctuations in response to negotiation-related news, but until sanctions are actually lifted, risk-aversion sentiment is unlikely to be fully removed in its support for the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasury yields.

For the crypto market, uncertainty in the situation remains the main external factor weighing on it. Against a backdrop of tight macro liquidity, risk assets such as $BTC are more vulnerable to sentiment shocks. Investors should be alert to market volatility caused by the repeated ebb and flow of geopolitical games. #Iran #Geopolitics #CryptoMarket