19:10 Trump again delivered tough talk at Iran, and the two oils jumped straight up.
$BTC is currently around 83,800; it moved only 0.06% in a day, with turnover of 15.97 billion. ETH is about 2,700, BNB about 770—everything is basically completely unchanged. Over in geopolitics, oil got excited first; over here in crypto, we’re playing dead. So are we all waiting for the weekend show?
I’ll talk in two tiers. The first is a risk-avoidance logic: as oil rises and Trump’s rhetoric escalates, short-term funds will definitely pull back a bit from risk assets first. SOL today is down 1.52% to about 118—basically being used like an ATM. The second tier is that crypto itself hasn’t broken down; the Fear & Greed Index is still in the “Greed” zone at 74. Meanwhile, the heat around TRUMP shot straight into the trending topics—this suggests nobody is actually trying to get off this narrative.
As for key levels to watch: as long as BTC holds around 83,000, I’m leaning long there. If the pullback doesn’t break, then we should look toward 85,500 to 86,000. For SOL, if it drops to the 118 area, that’s actually interesting. If I were trading, I’d consider entering long there, targeting around 125. The risk is that if geopolitics escalates again, it could dump the market—but it’s worth trying.
Lastly, a joke: with Trump’s tough remarks this time, it probably isn’t that his own alternate account is flipping and going long on crude oil.
$BTC is currently around 83,800; it moved only 0.06% in a day, with turnover of 15.97 billion. ETH is about 2,700, BNB about 770—everything is basically completely unchanged. Over in geopolitics, oil got excited first; over here in crypto, we’re playing dead. So are we all waiting for the weekend show?
I’ll talk in two tiers. The first is a risk-avoidance logic: as oil rises and Trump’s rhetoric escalates, short-term funds will definitely pull back a bit from risk assets first. SOL today is down 1.52% to about 118—basically being used like an ATM. The second tier is that crypto itself hasn’t broken down; the Fear & Greed Index is still in the “Greed” zone at 74. Meanwhile, the heat around TRUMP shot straight into the trending topics—this suggests nobody is actually trying to get off this narrative.
As for key levels to watch: as long as BTC holds around 83,000, I’m leaning long there. If the pullback doesn’t break, then we should look toward 85,500 to 86,000. For SOL, if it drops to the 118 area, that’s actually interesting. If I were trading, I’d consider entering long there, targeting around 125. The risk is that if geopolitics escalates again, it could dump the market—but it’s worth trying.
Lastly, a joke: with Trump’s tough remarks this time, it probably isn’t that his own alternate account is flipping and going long on crude oil.
