$SUI Retail traders are more crowded than large holders—whales are撤（out) within 48 hours, yet the price hardly moves.
Current price is about 1.163, up only +0.68% over 24h. On Binance perps: large holders’ L/S drops from about 2.38 to 1.86 (longs about 65%), but retail traders get stuck at 2.49 (about 71% long)—the gap is -0.63, meaning retail is even more bullish than whales. OI volume is -4.7% over 48h and -1.3% over 24h; over 7 days it’s almost flat (+0.5%). The nominal rise is mainly because price is being lifted.
Funding rates aren’t hot either: in the last 21 intervals, only 5 times hit the 0.01% cap; the average annualized is about 7.4%. The latest settlement is only around 0.19 bp. Basis is about -4.0 bp at a discount. Active buy/sell is 0.95 versus the 24h average—slightly skewed to sell.
Structurally, the current price is sticking to the 4H POC/SMA20 (about 1.162/1.158). The upper Bollinger band is 1.192, and the 7D high at 1.30 is still far away. Below, the lower Bollinger band is 1.123. This is the opposite of today’s “large holders pin the top with maximum long orders” in those alts—here retail is still holding the bag: large holders leave first, positions shrink, and price goes sideways.
If retail’s L/S falls back below 2 and the price holds at 1.12–1.15, it looks like churn/rotation. But if the price breaks down through the lower band first and retail still doesn’t reduce, then this batch of 71% long positions is the fuel. Are you going to keep holding on the retail side, or follow the large holders and cut?
$SUI $BTC #合约数据 #多空比 #SUI
Current price is about 1.163, up only +0.68% over 24h. On Binance perps: large holders’ L/S drops from about 2.38 to 1.86 (longs about 65%), but retail traders get stuck at 2.49 (about 71% long)—the gap is -0.63, meaning retail is even more bullish than whales. OI volume is -4.7% over 48h and -1.3% over 24h; over 7 days it’s almost flat (+0.5%). The nominal rise is mainly because price is being lifted.
Funding rates aren’t hot either: in the last 21 intervals, only 5 times hit the 0.01% cap; the average annualized is about 7.4%. The latest settlement is only around 0.19 bp. Basis is about -4.0 bp at a discount. Active buy/sell is 0.95 versus the 24h average—slightly skewed to sell.
Structurally, the current price is sticking to the 4H POC/SMA20 (about 1.162/1.158). The upper Bollinger band is 1.192, and the 7D high at 1.30 is still far away. Below, the lower Bollinger band is 1.123. This is the opposite of today’s “large holders pin the top with maximum long orders” in those alts—here retail is still holding the bag: large holders leave first, positions shrink, and price goes sideways.
If retail’s L/S falls back below 2 and the price holds at 1.12–1.15, it looks like churn/rotation. But if the price breaks down through the lower band first and retail still doesn’t reduce, then this batch of 71% long positions is the fuel. Are you going to keep holding on the retail side, or follow the large holders and cut?
$SUI $BTC #合约数据 #多空比 #SUI
