Tomorrow at 8:30 PM, the U.S. non-farm payrolls.
Consensus is 89K, prior 162K—there’s a big gap. The key is where the actual figure lands: if it really comes in near 89K or even lower, rate-cut expectations will get ignited again, and BTC and ETH will most likely spike upward in the short term; if it unexpectedly falls back to above 160K, the U.S. dollar will strengthen, and crypto will take a hit first.
I’m leaning bullish. If BTC pulls back but doesn’t break below the prior low, I’ll keep looking for upside; ETH should follow the broader market. Don’t rush in before the data—wait until the first 15-minute candlestick closes, because the trade is betting on the expectation gap. At this level, the long setup has a better cost-performance ratio than the short, and if you’re wrong, the stop-loss is also close.
We’ll know tomorrow night.
Consensus is 89K, prior 162K—there’s a big gap. The key is where the actual figure lands: if it really comes in near 89K or even lower, rate-cut expectations will get ignited again, and BTC and ETH will most likely spike upward in the short term; if it unexpectedly falls back to above 160K, the U.S. dollar will strengthen, and crypto will take a hit first.
I’m leaning bullish. If BTC pulls back but doesn’t break below the prior low, I’ll keep looking for upside; ETH should follow the broader market. Don’t rush in before the data—wait until the first 15-minute candlestick closes, because the trade is betting on the expectation gap. At this level, the long setup has a better cost-performance ratio than the short, and if you’re wrong, the stop-loss is also close.
We’ll know tomorrow night.
