Near #BTC 83500, someone’s plan is to go long at 81888, with a stop-loss set below 80000. The logic is that three layers of support stack together: 82000 to 83000 is viewed as the average cost zone for ETF investors, and further down around 80000 there is support from the 365-day moving average. The macro picture also helps: the Core PCE year-over-year released on September 30 came in at 3.0%, below the 3.3% expected, hitting the lowest since February this year. Market pricing for an October rate hike fell from 66% to around 45%. By year-end, the expectation of another 50 basis points also dropped from 55% to 35%. In terms of liquidity, spot ETF flows have been net inflows for 9 consecutive trading days, with September’s total nearing $3 billion. The first target is 84500 to 85000; if that breaks, then look at 86500. Position size: 10% to 15%; leverage no more than 3x. The data is relatively dovish—institutions are buying—but support is only a matter of probability, not a promise. Don’t treat your stop-loss as decoration. #加密货币 #BTC