#比特币升破85200美元 is still on the hot list, but 85,200 was the price level it previously touched—not the current price at 17:33 Beijing time on Oct 1. At 16:35, the post numbered 372541595015704 confirmed that the complete hour from 15:00 to 16:00 closed at $83,429.93 with a turnover of about $120 million USDT, and asked whether the next hour could regain $84,110. Now that the hour at 16:00 has ended, the answer is more nuanced than simply “keep falling”: it made a new intraday low, yet closed slightly higher, and the key level still hasn’t been reclaimed.
First, in the 16:00–17:00 Binance BTC/USDT spot session, the low was $83,186, which was $135.71 lower than the prior hour’s low of $83,321.71. However, this hour closed at $83,566.97, which was $137.04 higher than the prior hour’s close. Both a push to a lower low and a rebound to a higher close occurred within the same hour. This suggests an attempt at support below, meaning you can’t simply label the new low as an uninterrupted hour-by-hour weakening, nor can you treat a higher close as a trend reversal by itself.
Second, the USDT trading value for two complete hours was about $120 million and $119 million, respectively—very close in magnitude. The earlier post observed that the selling-hours saw volume expand by about 3.57x compared with the 14:00 hour. In this round, the new high-volume did not immediately disappear, and the 16:00 hour, under a similar trading size, still closed higher. This changes how we observe short-term selling pressure, but it doesn’t allow us to infer net inflows from active buying, nor can it be used to estimate liquidation amounts. Hourly turnover only indicates rotation; it doesn’t reveal the motives behind each trade.
Third, the two 15-minute candles already completed from 17:00 to 17:30 closed at $83,690.38 and $83,761.88, continuing the rebound after the 16:00 hour’s close. But when the data for the 17:00–18:00 hour were collected, it wasn’t finished yet, so its final close can’t be predicted. More importantly, $83,761.88 is still below the earlier post’s $84,110 observation level, and it is far below the hot-list title’s $85,200.
The incremental development relative to the 16:35 post is: after the 16:00 hour broke below the prior low, it closed high on turnover close to that of the prior hour, and during the first half of the 17:00 period, the two completed 15-minute candles kept moving up. Next we need to see whether the complete 17:00 hour can hold $83,566.97 and move toward $84,110. If it drops below $83,186 again, then the newly appeared support signals will need to be reassessed. Here, we only discuss price-and-volume structures that can be verified; we don’t treat outdated hot-list titles as proof of a current breakout.
First, in the 16:00–17:00 Binance BTC/USDT spot session, the low was $83,186, which was $135.71 lower than the prior hour’s low of $83,321.71. However, this hour closed at $83,566.97, which was $137.04 higher than the prior hour’s close. Both a push to a lower low and a rebound to a higher close occurred within the same hour. This suggests an attempt at support below, meaning you can’t simply label the new low as an uninterrupted hour-by-hour weakening, nor can you treat a higher close as a trend reversal by itself.
Second, the USDT trading value for two complete hours was about $120 million and $119 million, respectively—very close in magnitude. The earlier post observed that the selling-hours saw volume expand by about 3.57x compared with the 14:00 hour. In this round, the new high-volume did not immediately disappear, and the 16:00 hour, under a similar trading size, still closed higher. This changes how we observe short-term selling pressure, but it doesn’t allow us to infer net inflows from active buying, nor can it be used to estimate liquidation amounts. Hourly turnover only indicates rotation; it doesn’t reveal the motives behind each trade.
Third, the two 15-minute candles already completed from 17:00 to 17:30 closed at $83,690.38 and $83,761.88, continuing the rebound after the 16:00 hour’s close. But when the data for the 17:00–18:00 hour were collected, it wasn’t finished yet, so its final close can’t be predicted. More importantly, $83,761.88 is still below the earlier post’s $84,110 observation level, and it is far below the hot-list title’s $85,200.
The incremental development relative to the 16:35 post is: after the 16:00 hour broke below the prior low, it closed high on turnover close to that of the prior hour, and during the first half of the 17:00 period, the two completed 15-minute candles kept moving up. Next we need to see whether the complete 17:00 hour can hold $83,566.97 and move toward $84,110. If it drops below $83,186 again, then the newly appeared support signals will need to be reassessed. Here, we only discuss price-and-volume structures that can be verified; we don’t treat outdated hot-list titles as proof of a current breakout.
