Just saw the research by Mornay, and there’s an interesting viewpoint:
**Bitcoin may really have its own “clock.”**
Many price indicators are working worse and worse in this cycle, but he put several major tops and bottoms from the past together and found that, in terms of timing, there’s actually a pattern:
**After the halving, within 525—546 days, a top is likely to form.**
After the top is confirmed, then:
**364—366 days later, a bottom is likely to form.**
A simple way to understand it is:
**Halving → about 1.5 years → find the top
Top → about 1 more year → find the bottom**
Projecting this pattern forward:
**October 5, 2026—November 16, 2026 is the bottom time window worth paying close attention to in this cycle.**
What I find most interesting about this research isn’t predicting how far Bitcoin might drop.
It’s changing the angle:
**Sometimes, when matters more than how much.**
Of course, hitting the time doesn’t necessarily mean the bottom is definitely in.
Just write down the window for now, and when the time comes, we’ll look at how the price structure moves.
$BTC
**Bitcoin may really have its own “clock.”**
Many price indicators are working worse and worse in this cycle, but he put several major tops and bottoms from the past together and found that, in terms of timing, there’s actually a pattern:
**After the halving, within 525—546 days, a top is likely to form.**
After the top is confirmed, then:
**364—366 days later, a bottom is likely to form.**
A simple way to understand it is:
**Halving → about 1.5 years → find the top
Top → about 1 more year → find the bottom**
Projecting this pattern forward:
**October 5, 2026—November 16, 2026 is the bottom time window worth paying close attention to in this cycle.**
What I find most interesting about this research isn’t predicting how far Bitcoin might drop.
It’s changing the angle:
**Sometimes, when matters more than how much.**
Of course, hitting the time doesn’t necessarily mean the bottom is definitely in.
Just write down the window for now, and when the time comes, we’ll look at how the price structure moves.
$BTC
