๐ ETH/USDT โ Analysis & Scenario for 01/10/2026
๐ฐ Current price: ~2,690 $ | 24h change: +0.4% to +0.6%
๐ ICT Analysis (Smart Money Concepts)
ETH shows notable relative strength: it rose yesterday and today while BTC was correcting at timesโan indication of a rotation toward the alts. On the daily chart, the bullish Break of Structure (BOS) remains intact (+11.9% over one month). Price is approaching the buy-side liquidity zone from the top of September (~2,750โ2,800 $). A bullish Order Block (OB) is located around 2,620โ2,650 $ (the last bearish candle before the rebound). A partial bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) still exists around 2,580โ2,610 $, but price is moving away from it. The 4H momentum is bullish with no clear divergence.
๐ Fundamental analysis
The fundamentals remain solid: high staking, near-zero net issuance (EIP-1559), ongoing L2 growth, and steady flows into spot ETH ETFs. In a context of accommodating PCE, the rotation toward outperforming alts favors ETH. With BTC dominance retreating slightly today, Ethereum benefits directly.
๐ฏ Scenario for tomorrow: BULLISH
Hold above the bullish OB 2,620โ2,650 $. A break above 2,720 $, then a liquidity raid above the September high, target 2,780โ2,800 $.
โข Entry: buy on pullback to 2,640โ2,660 $, or a confirmed breakout above $2,720
โข Stop: 4H close below $2,600
โข Target: $2,750 (first target), then $2,800
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a buy or sell recommendation. The crypto-assets market is extremely volatile and involves the risk of total capital loss. Do your own research (DYOR) and manage your risk diligently.
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