🔥 PCE says the heat is cooling, ADP says things are strong—two sets of data are fighting each other!
The weakest September didn’t knock BTC down, so the first day of October is the real exam.
Friday night’s jobs report—who will BTC listen to?
📊 Two reports from last night:
· Core PCE YoY 3% (forecast 3.3%) → inflation cooling
· Sept ADP added 90k (forecast ~70k) → employment looks strong
📈 BTC’s resilience:
Over the past day it rallied from 82,919 to 85,639, then pulled back to 83,950, yet for the month it’s still up 7.79%. September is usually a weak month, but BTC hasn’t been beaten.
📍 Three major coins:
BTC 83,950 (key level 84,000)｜ETH 2,680, ETF inflows cooling—slightly weak｜SOL 119, my reference level is 120
⚠️ Pressure: the U.S. 30-year Treasury yield hit the highest since 2002, and the 10-year yield broke above 5.2%.
📅 Friday’s jobs report expected around 84k to 90k:
🔴 Way above expectations → rate-hike expectations heat up, BTC under pressure
🟢 Clearly below → yields fall back, BTC gets breathing room
🎯 My approach: don’t go heavy before the data—wait for the 15-minute close before acting.
Do you think the jobs report will beat expectations? Vote in the comments below 👇
$BTC
$ETH $SOL #非农 #股票财报季 #比特币 #比特币升破85200美元
The weakest September didn’t knock BTC down, so the first day of October is the real exam.
Friday night’s jobs report—who will BTC listen to?
📊 Two reports from last night:
· Core PCE YoY 3% (forecast 3.3%) → inflation cooling
· Sept ADP added 90k (forecast ~70k) → employment looks strong
📈 BTC’s resilience:
Over the past day it rallied from 82,919 to 85,639, then pulled back to 83,950, yet for the month it’s still up 7.79%. September is usually a weak month, but BTC hasn’t been beaten.
📍 Three major coins:
BTC 83,950 (key level 84,000)｜ETH 2,680, ETF inflows cooling—slightly weak｜SOL 119, my reference level is 120
⚠️ Pressure: the U.S. 30-year Treasury yield hit the highest since 2002, and the 10-year yield broke above 5.2%.
📅 Friday’s jobs report expected around 84k to 90k:
🔴 Way above expectations → rate-hike expectations heat up, BTC under pressure
🟢 Clearly below → yields fall back, BTC gets breathing room
🎯 My approach: don’t go heavy before the data—wait for the 15-minute close before acting.
Do you think the jobs report will beat expectations? Vote in the comments below 👇
$BTC
$ETH $SOL #非农 #股票财报季 #比特币 #比特币升破85200美元