$ETH Yesterday they were still shouting that Ethereum must be pushed hard, bro—today when the daily line goes empty, has your face been slapped swollen?
The most poisonous part of this setup isn’t the drop—it’s that it keeps making you feel like a rebound is coming “right away.” The moment you get itchy and rush in, once you enter, you get slapped. The dog dealer loves to wash it like this—washing you until you’re convinced even if you don’t want to be.
Brother Kuang’s view is very straightforward.
2630-2560: Only wait for a wick insertion to test.
If you don’t see a wick insertion, don’t rush—don’t get caught in the middle and fly.
A wick insertion isn’t something you see and then immediately take—wait for 1-hour and 4-hour signals to come back before acting, and place your stop-loss below the pin’s low.
2700-2750: If it doesn’t re-station back, don’t talk about a new uptrend.
A quick poke intraday doesn’t count; ideally the 4-hour and daily close should stand back above. Only if a pullback doesn’t break, then you’re qualified to look at 2800-2900.
Chop in the middle: do less touching—it's a meat grinder.
Light position size, trade per position (逐仓), with a hard stop-loss. Do it if you can—if you can’t, just wait.
2560: A wick break and a body break are two different things.
Don’t hold on if the body breaks down—if the rebound can’t get through 2560-2600, then admit you’re wrong.
Watch BTC and ETH/BTC. If BTC isn’t stable, ETH can’t strongly stand on its own; if ETH/BTC doesn’t lift its head, then the rebound is mostly just a repair, not a reversal.
A rebound isn’t a reversal—luck isn’t skill.
If you haven’t reached the boundary, haven’t gotten the wick insertion, and haven’t confirmed, then stay in cash and wait.
Doing fewer is not fatal; making a mess one time might really be gone.
Brothers who still don’t have a direction, come to the Wealth-Gathering Bureau to find me—Brother Kuang will take you to profit! #股票财报季