:Today's market is clearly in a Risk-Off mode. Current numbers: BTC: $83,300 - $83,600 (+0.35%) ETH: $2,670 DXY: 101.2 holding steady U.S. 10-year Treasury yield: 5.26% - and this is the real risk Market cap: $2.96 trillion What happens? Bitcoin is trying to hold above $82,000 despite the Treasury yields rising to their highest levels. This is positive—it means institutional demand is absorbing the pressure. But every move up above $84,500 gets sold quickly. Resistance has become heavy. ETF fund flows yesterday: only $31 million into BTC and $17 million into ETH—the momentum has faded compared to last week. The next scenario: Today, the PCE inflation index and U.S. output data are released. These are what determine the dollar’s direction. If PCE is cool: DXY falls below 100.5 = Bitcoin explodes above $85K If PCE is hot: DXY flies up = we return to test $82,000 and $81,200 A simple trading plan: Don't enter full margin now. Wait for a daily close above $85K to buy, or buy a pullback from $82,000 with a stop at $81,500. In a 5% rate market, Bitcoin that holds above 82K is the hero