Important events coming up 🇺🇸 Today 30/9, everyone be careful with your seatbelts—there’s strong volatility ahead 🇺🇸 Today 30/9
US PCE inflation — the Fed data is especially watched. US GDP. ADP employment.
Remarks from Fed officials. PCE will be released at 8:30 ET, while US 10Y yields are currently at very high levels, making the market extremely sensitive to inflation data.
🇺🇸 01/10
ISM
New York Fed
🔥 02/10
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) — the US jobs report at 8:30 ET.
New York Fed
🔥 14/10
US CPI
15/10 PPI
New York Fed
2️⃣ How will BTC react?
🟢 Low PCE + employment not too strong
→ rate expectations ease
→ USD/yields may fall
→ BTC has a chance to retest $85K → $87K
🔴 High PCE + NFP too strong
→ expectations the Fed will keep a hawkish policy
→ USD/yields rise
→ BTC may face pressure and test $82K–$83K.
⚠️ Mixed data
→ Fake Breakout + Long/Short squeeze are likely before choosing a direction.
3️⃣ BTC key zones to remember
Important meaning: $82K–$83K
🟢 Major support.$84K–$85K
⚠️ Large supply zone.$85K
🚀 Breakout level to watch: $86K–$87.4K
Resistance above
BTC is sitting in a fairly sensitive range: spot demand is decreasing, but the larger structure hasn’t been broken yet. Therefore, upcoming US data could be the catalyst for a breakout.
🎯 what to watch
LONG: only worth paying attention when BTC holds $82–$83K and, after the news, there is confirmed buy volume.
BREAKOUT: close candles clearly above $85K with rising volume → watch the potential expansion into $86–87K.
SHORT: watch if BTC loses $82K with increasing sell volume and US data puts pressure on yields/USD.
👉 Most important point: don’t guess the direction before PCE/NFP. Wait for confirmation after the news.$BTC
US PCE inflation — the Fed data is especially watched. US GDP. ADP employment.
Remarks from Fed officials. PCE will be released at 8:30 ET, while US 10Y yields are currently at very high levels, making the market extremely sensitive to inflation data.
🇺🇸 01/10
ISM
New York Fed
🔥 02/10
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) — the US jobs report at 8:30 ET.
New York Fed
🔥 14/10
US CPI
15/10 PPI
New York Fed
2️⃣ How will BTC react?
🟢 Low PCE + employment not too strong
→ rate expectations ease
→ USD/yields may fall
→ BTC has a chance to retest $85K → $87K
🔴 High PCE + NFP too strong
→ expectations the Fed will keep a hawkish policy
→ USD/yields rise
→ BTC may face pressure and test $82K–$83K.
⚠️ Mixed data
→ Fake Breakout + Long/Short squeeze are likely before choosing a direction.
3️⃣ BTC key zones to remember
Important meaning: $82K–$83K
🟢 Major support.$84K–$85K
⚠️ Large supply zone.$85K
🚀 Breakout level to watch: $86K–$87.4K
Resistance above
BTC is sitting in a fairly sensitive range: spot demand is decreasing, but the larger structure hasn’t been broken yet. Therefore, upcoming US data could be the catalyst for a breakout.
🎯 what to watch
LONG: only worth paying attention when BTC holds $82–$83K and, after the news, there is confirmed buy volume.
BREAKOUT: close candles clearly above $85K with rising volume → watch the potential expansion into $86–87K.
SHORT: watch if BTC loses $82K with increasing sell volume and US data puts pressure on yields/USD.
👉 Most important point: don’t guess the direction before PCE/NFP. Wait for confirmation after the news.$BTC