$XAU Gold’s this round of pullback cycle—fundamentally it’s not a crash; it’s because US Treasury real yields are rising
Last night oil prices got smashed, and the market started betting on US-Iran talks. October rate hike odds: 70% → 50%
4120 holds initially—good for the rebound
Whether it can turn around depends on one thing: will it break through 4320?
If it can’t stand above 4320, the market will still show weakness
Tonight’s PCE and Friday’s non-farm payrolls are the key switches for a breakout
4120–3950 has been a consolidation for more than 40 days—long-term long positions can be placed around this zone
Do you think it will first go to 3950, or should it go straight for 4320?