📊 ETH/USDT — Analysis & Scenario for 30/09/2026
💰 Current price: ~ $2,680 | 24h change: mixed, near September’s high
🔍 ICT Analysis (Smart Money Concepts)
ETH approaches the premium zone corresponding to September’s high (~$2,750), where buy-side liquidity is partially absorbed. On the 4H chart, two rejections are observed around $2,710–$2,730, forming a clear bearish Order Block. If the daily structure remains bullish (+12% over 30 sessions), the short term shows signs of exhaustion, with a bearish divergence on the 4H RSI. An unfilled bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) remains around $2,580–$2,610, and sell-side liquidity piles up below $2,600 and then around $2,520 (prior swing low + round number).
📈 Fundamental analysis
Fundamentals remain solid: high staking rate, net issuance almost zero or even deflationary depending on network activity (EIP-1559), continued growth of the L2 ecosystem, and steady flows into spot ETH ETFs. However, in a context of rising US bond yields and reduced risk appetite, even a fundamentally strong asset may correct in the short term.
🎯 Scenario for tomorrow: BEARISH
Rejection at resistance 2,700–2,730, return toward the bullish FVG / order block 2,580–2,610, with possible extension to $2,520 if liquidity below $2,600 is swept.
• Entry: sell/re-sell around $2,700–$2,720
• Stop: 4H close above $2,760
• Target: $2,600 (first target), then $2,520
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. The crypto-asset market is extremely volatile and involves a risk of total capital loss. Do your own research (DYOR) and manage your risk rigorously.
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