⚡ Short scenario target reached.
close 0.003137 / level 0.003223 · volume 0.20× / target 1.25×
📉 SHORT · $QI (QI/USDT) · downtrend scenario · context 15m, indicators 15m, trigger 5m
📍 Scenario: Premium zone not found; technical retest of EMA50 is being tracked.
📊 MARKET
💵 Price: $0.003124 · 1h -1.89% · 24h +2.33%.
💧 Per 1h: volume $62,164.938 · trades 1 009.
📊 M5 activity: volume $7,038.5242 · trades 146 · activity score 40/100.
📚 Order book ±1%: depth $17,250.9584 · spread 0.26%.
🛡️ DATA CHECK AND MARKET TYPE
✅ Data audit: passed · 5m passed · 15m passed.
⚠️ Market quality: error ❗
🛡️ Risk assessment: BLOCKED · mandatory checks not passed · order book depth is insufficient; candle, volume, and level context are not aligned ❗
🏷️ Context: Spot · analytical hypothesis of a possible sale of an asset that is already in the Spot portfolio; a short position is not opened.
🧭 TECHNICAL PICTURE
🧭 Trigger state: Premium zone not found; waiting for a 15m EMA50 retest ❗
📉 A structural break downward has been confirmed.
🔎 Trigger check:
↩️ EMA50 retest: no ❗
🕯️ 5m close with rejection downward: no ❗
💧 Volume vs. the median: no data · filter not passed ❗
💰 Close: $0.003132.
🔵 Trigger level: $0.00322338.
🕯️ 5m candle context: ⚠️ No suitable bearish zone for candle verification · reason: · No confirmed zone in this direction. ❗
📉 SHORT context: price is below EMA50 and VWAP (15m).
📐 Price is below the EMA 21 of the selected context.
📊 Indicators of the selected context:
〽️ EMA 21: $0.00319354 · price is below
〽️ EMA 50: $0.00322338 · price is below
〽️ EMA 200: $0.00322926 · price is below
⚖️ VWAP: $0.0034379 · price is below
🌡️ RSI 14: 43.1
🧱 STRUCTURE AND PD ARRAY
🗓️ Senior filter 1D: mixed structure · neutral context · major swing levels: support $0.00162 · resistance $0.00508. D1 sets the context, but does not invalidate the 15m zone and the 5m trigger.
📐 24h Dealing Range: $0.0029–$0.003793 · EQ $0.0033465 · price in Discount · source: closed 15m candles over the last 24h.
🧱 Verified OB/BB/PD Array in the required half of the range not found ❗
💎 For SHORT, Premium zones are considered (upper half of the range); Discount by itself does not strengthen the sell scenario. ❗
⚠️ SCENARIO BLOCKED: order book depth is insufficient; candle, volume, and level context are not aligned; volume tempo is decreasing. Publication is only after separate confirmation by the operator; the system did not approve the scenario.
🧭 Pilot Fibonacci SHORT model · 15m: correction structure break confirmed.
📐 Down impulse: $0.003486 → $0.00307 · structure break; body is 3.58× the median · volume is 1.82× the median.
↩️ Correction: 10 counter-trend candles · depth 48.3% · zone 38.2–61.8% ($0.00322891–$0.00332709).
✅ Structure confirmation: 15m close below $0.003139.
🛑 Cancel pilot scenario: 15m close above $0.00339698 (78.6% of the impulse).
🧪 This is a separate observational model: it currently does not change the auto-publication filters; probability is not calculated.
🎯 OBSERVATION PLAN
🔻 SHORT entry: 5m close below $0.00322338 · awaiting confirmation.
🛑 Stop/cancel SHORT: 5m close above $0.003224.
🎯 TP1 SHORT · 1R: $0.00322.
🏁 TP2 SHORT · 2R: $0.00322215 · theoretical level.
⚠️ Premium zone not found; these levels are a technical fallback, not an OB/BB or a supply zone.
🔵 Confirmation: wait for the 15m EMA50 retest ($0.00322338) and a 5m close below it with volume confirmation.
🛑 Cancel: 5m close above the confirmed swing high $0.003224.
🧪 STATISTICS
📈 Confirmed down impulses in the last 24h: 1 impulse.
🎲 Probability: numeric percentage not calculated — retest outcomes have not been accumulated and verified yet ❗
⚠️ Analytical draft only, not a trading recommendation and not a trade team. Verify levels against the chart and consider your own risk ❗
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