Nasdaq and BTC—today’s correlation is something.
Today’s U.S. stocks have no new narrative—only up/down moves.
These macro figures are current prices, not memories:
U.S. Dollar Index 101.33 (5-day +0.04%)
Nasdaq 26,820 (5-day -1.11%, Yahoo)
10Y U.S. Treasuries 5.24% (5-day +5.48%)
So: the 10Y Treasury yield is 5.24%, and over the past 5 days it’s been lifted another +5.48%. The long end is draining liquidity—both the growth stocks’ valuation story and BTC’s story have to make way.
Crypto: BTC 84018 (+1.26%), funding rate 0.0062% (8h, Binance USD-m). ETH +2.50% is stronger than BTC +1.26%, exchange rate 0.03232. This looks like risk-on spillover—not a solo BTC play.
VIX is 16.12 right now. If it breaks above 18, I’ll cut contract positions in half—I won’t argue with the U.S. stock close price.
My positions: I only do pullbacks, not breakouts chasing. If the structure hasn’t broken, I can keep the core position; adding must wait for a pullback level.
Data: Binance spot 24h / Binance USD-m / Yahoo daily (5-day gains/losses). Missing numbers aren’t filled in.
Will you set orders at the pullback level, or wait for the candle close?
#宏观 #BTC #U.S. stocks
Data cards (same round as the main text; the missing items are just the dash):
BTC 84,018 +1.26% Binance spot 24h
ETH 2,716 +2.50% ETH/BTC 0.03232
S&P 7,684 -1.04% Yahoo 5-day
Nasdaq 26,820 -1.11% Yahoo 5-day
Dollar 101 +0.04% DXY 5-day
VIX 16.12 +6.19% Yahoo
Funding rate 0.0062% Open interest 7.79B (24h -1.74) Long/Short 1.2952 Binance USD-m
Side note/evidence: people out there are discussing “"bitcoin OR stock market OR U.S. stocks" - Google News”. I’m only using it as background—the conclusion still relies on the numbers in the main text.
Personal view—numbers come from the sources in the main text. This is not an order instruction.
Today’s U.S. stocks have no new narrative—only up/down moves.
These macro figures are current prices, not memories:
U.S. Dollar Index 101.33 (5-day +0.04%)
Nasdaq 26,820 (5-day -1.11%, Yahoo)
10Y U.S. Treasuries 5.24% (5-day +5.48%)
So: the 10Y Treasury yield is 5.24%, and over the past 5 days it’s been lifted another +5.48%. The long end is draining liquidity—both the growth stocks’ valuation story and BTC’s story have to make way.
Crypto: BTC 84018 (+1.26%), funding rate 0.0062% (8h, Binance USD-m). ETH +2.50% is stronger than BTC +1.26%, exchange rate 0.03232. This looks like risk-on spillover—not a solo BTC play.
VIX is 16.12 right now. If it breaks above 18, I’ll cut contract positions in half—I won’t argue with the U.S. stock close price.
My positions: I only do pullbacks, not breakouts chasing. If the structure hasn’t broken, I can keep the core position; adding must wait for a pullback level.
Data: Binance spot 24h / Binance USD-m / Yahoo daily (5-day gains/losses). Missing numbers aren’t filled in.
Will you set orders at the pullback level, or wait for the candle close?
#宏观 #BTC #U.S. stocks
Data cards (same round as the main text; the missing items are just the dash):
BTC 84,018 +1.26% Binance spot 24h
ETH 2,716 +2.50% ETH/BTC 0.03232
S&P 7,684 -1.04% Yahoo 5-day
Nasdaq 26,820 -1.11% Yahoo 5-day
Dollar 101 +0.04% DXY 5-day
VIX 16.12 +6.19% Yahoo
Funding rate 0.0062% Open interest 7.79B (24h -1.74) Long/Short 1.2952 Binance USD-m
Side note/evidence: people out there are discussing “"bitcoin OR stock market OR U.S. stocks" - Google News”. I’m only using it as background—the conclusion still relies on the numbers in the main text.
Personal view—numbers come from the sources in the main text. This is not an order instruction.