Analysis on 9.29: $ETH
CME data shows that the probability of a rate hike in October has risen to 68.1%, and bond yields have continued to climb. Meanwhile, geopolitical risks are heating up—Trump has not ruled out military action against Iran, putting pressure on overall risk assets. As part of risk assets, the crypto market is indirectly affected.
Retail positioning data shows that 72.7% of accounts are in long positions, and even top futures traders keep 60.3% of their positions long. This overly crowded long setup is, historically, often resolved by a pattern of “first clearing long liquidation stop levels and then reversing.” OneFan’s personal suggestion: around 2720-2780, sound, target 2655-2580#BTC #ETH #BTC走势分析
CME data shows that the probability of a rate hike in October has risen to 68.1%, and bond yields have continued to climb. Meanwhile, geopolitical risks are heating up—Trump has not ruled out military action against Iran, putting pressure on overall risk assets. As part of risk assets, the crypto market is indirectly affected.
Retail positioning data shows that 72.7% of accounts are in long positions, and even top futures traders keep 60.3% of their positions long. This overly crowded long setup is, historically, often resolved by a pattern of “first clearing long liquidation stop levels and then reversing.” OneFan’s personal suggestion: around 2720-2780, sound, target 2655-2580#BTC #ETH #BTC走势分析
