易琳Ten

#BTC Why am I still firmly optimistic about the bull market?

Many people believe that with rate-hike expectations heating up, oil prices staying high, and US Treasury yields remaining at elevated levels, the market environment does not support a bull market.

So, they conclude that this rally is just a bull trap, and that fresh lows will appear afterward.

That’s fine—everyone has their own judgment.

But I’ve always believed that in the early stage of switching from bear to bull, it is often accompanied by massive disagreement and doubt.

I don’t believe that a real bull market must wait until external conditions stabilize, economic data improves across the board, and only then—after the FOMC meeting—when Waller signals a rate-cut direction, will the market officially get started.

If everyone waits until good news is already in place, data turns better, and the market is unanimously bullish before entering, then where would the market be at that point?

Do institutions really not know that rate hikes may continue in the future? Don’t they pay attention to the US10Y and US30Y Treasury yields, or the persistently high oil prices?

Since these risks are all on the table, why has BTC still managed to put out such a行情?

I won’t easily deny my own judgment just because there are bearish factors in the market. Of course, my judgment could also be wrong—ultimately it still needs the market’s price action to verify.

Let time give the answer.

Maybe a year from now, when Bitcoin breaks its all-time high again, market voices will gradually shift from doubt to belief, and more and more people will firmly start to think: the bull market really is here.

But by then, what stage of the bull market will the行情 be in?

The market always starts amid doubt, moves forward amid differences, and turns狂热 amid consensus.

I don’t need everyone to agree with my view right now.

I only need to keep independent thinking, respect market signals, manage risk well, and then let time verify everything.

What’s truly worth thinking about is not when everyone believes in the bull market, but whether—in a market still full of disagreement—you have your own judgment, and the ability to take the risk that comes with that judgment.

#BTC #Bitcoin #EarlyBullMarket #交易认知

📈 #BTC bull market may have quietly begun,
and you may currently be in the early
stage of a new round of market activity!
Many people are still watching from the sidelines,
wondering whether midterm elections,
future interest rate hikes, and
various policy news will trigger another
round of declines.
But there is one important signal in trading worth paying attention to: when bad news materializes and the market does not experience the expected sharp selloff, it is worth re-examining the market’s true ability to absorb selling.
❤ Thank you for your attention!

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Sister-in-charge calls out: Japan can use Binance for payments; you can spend with cryptocurrencies, just like you live there.

🍂 As September comes to a close and October begins anew! ✨

As September draws to a close, looking back on the turbulence and dormancy we’ve walked through, every act of steadfastness is an accumulation of growth; every time we settle, we’re gathering the strength to move forward. 📊

Don’t be anxious due to a brief period of silence, and don’t waver because of market fluctuations. Stay patient, hold fast to your convictions; walk together within consensus, and grow through volatility. 🕊️

🍁 Farewell to September—hello to October!

May we always stay together with one heart, with steady steps, and live up to the time, and to our perseverance. Through the storms of the market, we quietly await the blooming of what’s meant for us! 💛🦋

This week, the United States will release a lot of important data—big ones are coming.

To grow the principal, you don’t rely on luck—you rely on discipline

If you don’t have much capital, really stop chasing charts blindly and making random trades.

The crypto market has never been a place where you can survive long-term by luck alone.

The smaller your principal, the less you can afford to be anxious.
The more you want to turn things around, the more you must restrain yourself.

Because the biggest advantage of small capital isn’t that you’re bold enough to gamble—it’s that you can control risk and still have a chance to start over.

Remember these 3 rules:

① Capital allocation—never go all-in

Divide your capital into three parts.

One part for short-term trades: when you have profit, take it off the table—don’t get greedy to the very end;
One part for waiting for trends: if the market hasn’t moved in your expected direction, be patient and wait;
The last part as a reserve: unless it’s truly necessary, never touch it lightly.

Always leave yourself a way to retreat.

② Only make money from what you can understand

If there’s no opportunity, stay in cash.
If there’s no signal, wait.

Not every candlestick is worth participating in,
And you don’t have to make money every day.

If you don’t understand the market, it’s better to miss it;
Only after you understand the opportunity should you act seriously.

Trading isn’t about who makes more moves—it’s about who makes fewer mistakes.

③ Take-profit and stop-loss must be executed

If you’re wrong, admit it.
If you’re in profit, reduce your position according to the plan.
If you’re at a loss, don’t mindlessly add just to average down.

The real danger has never been a single small loss.

It’s when you’re clearly wrong, but because you’re unwilling to accept it, you stubbornly turn a small loss into a big one.

No one can guarantee that every trade will be profitable.

But you can do this:

Keep small losses under control, hold onto profits, and never touch big losses.

Having a small principal isn’t scary.
What’s truly terrifying is trying to turn things around in a rush.

When you’re anxious, you chase the surge.
When you have a loss, you add.
When you get a win, you start getting greedy again.
In the end, your trading is completely taken over by emotions.

The real growth path for small capital has never been:

All-in → a sudden surge → a fortune overnight.

It should be:

First survive → control drawdowns → execute steadily → accumulate slowly → let compounding work.

So don’t always think about how much you’ll make on the next trade.

First ask yourself:

If this trade is wrong, what’s the maximum I can afford to lose?

In the end, trading isn’t about who’s most willing to gamble.
It’s about who can, through repeated fluctuations, keep their principal, keep their discipline, and keep their own rhythm.

Don’t be greedy. Don’t panic. Don’t gamble.

The first step in turning around with a small principal has never been making money—it’s learning how not to lose your chance first.

When you have something, you should cherish it well.
Research by psychologists like Robert Emmons and others has found that actively focusing on things in life that you have to be grateful for helps boost positive emotions and well-being.
The biggest mistake people make in life is taking what they have for granted.
If your parents are still here, spend more time with them; if your loved one is still there, cherish them well; if your body is healthy, don’t recklessly overdraw it.
Because nothing you have is permanent, and every reunion has its time limit.
True appreciation isn’t something you regret only after losing it—it’s knowing, while you still have it, that it’s worth cherishing.
Cherish the person in front of you, cherish what’s happening right now, and cherish everything you have at this moment.

Life is like tea,
with both bitterness and sweetness in balance.

Life is like tea; it requires a calm heart and patient waiting.
When it sinks, accept it with composure—learn to build strength.
When it rises, stay unruffled—learn to let things settle.
Hold your temper steady, and only then can you become truly great.

What do you know is the most fascinating part of trading?
In business, with different ways of thinking, you need time to communicate and put in all your effort to persuade others.
In trading, is it different in how you think?
No arguing, no persuading, no explanations.
You have your judgment, and I have my logic.
You are bullish, and I am bearish.
The market is the arena, and price is the referee.
No need to persuade anyone, and no need to prove anything to anyone.
If the direction is right, take the profit that belongs to you.
If the direction is wrong, accept the market’s lesson.
Trading is a quiet contest.

Trade
Be content and always happy,
steady compounding returns,
slow and steady progress.

To fish, go to the places with more fish and cast your line;
for trading, go to the places where it’s easiest to make money.
For going long, choose the strongest;
for going short, choose the weakest.
Don’t hold your ground in a place with no fish, and don’t clash head-on with the market.
Follow the flow of capital, stand on the side where the trend is strongest—making money naturally becomes much easier.
Trading isn’t about who’s smarter,
but about who understands better—where there are fish, that’s where you cast your line. 🎣📈

Risk control isn’t about guessing every day whether the market will suddenly crash.
Real risk control is:
how big your position is,
where you set your stop-loss,
what your worst-case loss will be,
and what you do after you’re wrong and the trade goes against you.
As for whether the market will suddenly fall—that’s the market’s business.

Real growth in trading comes from slowly growing small capital

By practicing with small capital and gradually building it up,
what you’re really going through is a process of honing your mindset and understanding compounding.

Many people always want to get rich overnight,
thinking they can make A8, A9 directly from a single trade.
But from the underlying logic of trading, that directly goes against trading principles.

Why do so many people who suddenly get rich end up back at square one?
Because they received a large unexpected windfall,
but they didn’t build the kind of mindset, discipline, and understanding that matches that wealth.

The power of compounding never comes from extreme returns,
but from having long enough time for “pretty good” performance.

What truly matters isn’t how much you made in one year,
but whether you can go through wave after wave of volatility and still stay in the game.

A strategy that keeps you anxious every night and makes you change your plan frequently,
no matter how excellent it sounds in theory,
is hard to carry out consistently over the long run.

Trading isn’t about who can make the most money in one night,
but about who can last long enough—so that time turns “pretty good” returns into astonishing results.

It’s okay to go slower.
Stability is the real starting point of compounding.