Oil prices went straight into chaos last night. Trump rejected a proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz with Iran; Brent surged above $108, and WTI touched $96. He also said to “seriously consider” banning diesel exports. This energy chess game is getting messier the more it’s played.
The bond market is even more alarming: the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is nearing a 20-year high, and global bond yields have collectively returned to 2007 levels. Treasury Secretary Bessent even publicly urged the Federal Reserve to back down, and the four words “higher for longer” are deadlier than missiles.
The most surreal part is gold. With geopolitics like this, gold still managed to fall below 4200, and silver dropped 5% in a day. Yields are essentially grinding safe-haven assets into the ground, showing that what the market is truly afraid of isn’t the fighting—it’s liquidity being drained.
$BTC is stuck in the middle: the safe-haven narrative wants to lift it, while yields want to pin it down. My take is simple and brutal—don’t get carried away in the short term. The excitement in oil prices has no inherent link to coin prices; wait until macro sentiment settles before moving.
NFA DYOR
#BTC #宏观经济 #原油 #美联储 #加密货币
The bond market is even more alarming: the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is nearing a 20-year high, and global bond yields have collectively returned to 2007 levels. Treasury Secretary Bessent even publicly urged the Federal Reserve to back down, and the four words “higher for longer” are deadlier than missiles.
The most surreal part is gold. With geopolitics like this, gold still managed to fall below 4200, and silver dropped 5% in a day. Yields are essentially grinding safe-haven assets into the ground, showing that what the market is truly afraid of isn’t the fighting—it’s liquidity being drained.
$BTC is stuck in the middle: the safe-haven narrative wants to lift it, while yields want to pin it down. My take is simple and brutal—don’t get carried away in the short term. The excitement in oil prices has no inherent link to coin prices; wait until macro sentiment settles before moving.
NFA DYOR
#BTC #宏观经济 #原油 #美联储 #加密货币