Based on the current data, there are differing scenarios for what comes after today’s drop. While some technical analyses suggest the possibility of an upward rebound, other fundamental factors indicate continued bearish pressure.

📊 The Bullish Scenario (Rebound)

· Bitcoin’s "Double Bottom" model: Analyst Ali Martinez says that Bitcoin is currently testing the neckline of the "double bottom" model at $82,000. If this level holds as support, it could pave the way for an upside target at $100,000.

· Strong institutional inflows: Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded a record weekly inflow of $2.39 billion, the strongest weekly flow in 2026, reflecting strong institutional demand.

· Key Ethereum resistance: A break above the $2,700 level on the hourly chart could confirm a bullish breakout and open the door to testing $3,000.

📉 Bearish scenario (correction continues)

· Warning of “momentum death”: Bitcoin’s MACD shows momentum exhaustion, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a bearish divergence, which could precede a corrective move.

· Interest-rate hike pressure: The range of expectations for a U.S. rate hike in October widens to about 70%, which weighs on high-risk assets.

· Critical support levels: If Bitcoin breaks below $81,236, it could move toward the 20-day moving average at $80,691, while a break below $2,640 for Ethereum could target $2,530–$2,570.

💎 Summary

The next path depends on a decisive battle between technical support and institutional flows on one side, and pressure from monetary policy on the other. Bitcoin holding above $82,000 and Ethereum above $2,640 could pave the way for a rebound, while breaking these levels could deepen the correction.