⚡ Scenario target SHORT reached.
close 0.1735 / level 0.1770 · volume 0.31× / target 1.25×
📉 SHORT · $IMX (IMX/USDT) · downtrend scenario · context 15m, indicators 15m, trigger 5m
📍 Scenario: Premium zone not found; tracking technical retest of EMA50.
📊 MARKET
💵 Price: $0.1731 · 1h +1.23% · 24h +1.88%.
💧 For 1h: volume $148,240.1533 · trades 1 356.
📊 M5 activity: volume $1,853.6713 · trades 38 · activity score 17/100.
📚 Order book ±1%: depth $38,449.4882 · spread 0.12%.
🛡️ DATA CHECK AND MARKET TYPE
✅ Data audit: passed · 5m passed · 15m passed.
⚠️ Market quality: error ❗
🛡️ Risk assessment: BLOCKED · mandatory checks not passed · volume below the minimum operating level; too few trades to assess momentum ❗
🏷️ Context: Spot · analytical hypothesis about a possible sale of an asset that is already in the Spot portfolio; a short position is not opened.
🧭 TECHNICAL SNAPSHOT
🧭 Trigger status: Premium zone not found; waiting for a retest of the 15m EMA50 ❗
📉 A structural breakdown to the downside has been confirmed.
🔎 Trigger check:
↩️ EMA50 retest: none ❗
🕯️ 5m close with rejection downwards: no ❗
💧 Volume vs median: no data · filter not passed ❗
💰 Close: $0.174.
🔵 Trigger level: $0.17698915.
🕯️ 5m candle context: ⚠️ No suitable bearish zone for candle verification · reason: · No confirmed zone in this direction. ❗
📉 SHORT context: price below EMA50 and VWAP (15m).
📐 Price below EMA 21 of the selected context.
📊 Indicators of the selected context:
〽️ EMA 21: $0.17466516 · price below
〽️ EMA 50: $0.17687209 · price below
〽️ EMA 200: $0.1744432 · price below
⚖️ VWAP: $0.17945435 · price below
🌡️ RSI 14: 45.6
🧱 STRUCTURE AND PD ARRAY
🗓️ Senior filter 1D: bearish structure · supports short-context · major swing levels: support $0.1829 · resistance $0.1959. D1 sets the context, but does not cancel the 15m zone and the 5m trigger.
📐 Dealing Range 24h: $0.1687–$0.1956 · EQ $0.18215 · price in Discount · source: closed 15m candles over 24h.
🧱 Verified OB/BB/PD Array in the required half of the range not found ❗
💎 For SHORT, Premium zones (upper half of the range) are considered; Discount by itself does not strengthen the sell scenario. ❗
⚠️ SCENARIO BLOCKED: volume is below the minimum operating level; too few trades to assess momentum; potential profit is less than the minimum reward/risk. Publication — separately upon operator confirmation; the system did not approve the scenario.
🧭 Pilot Fibonacci model SHORT · 15m: correction in the working zone; waiting for a breakout of its structure.
📐 Down impulse: $0.1832 → $0.1687 · structure breakout; body 2.50× the median · volume 5.04× the median.
↩️ Correction: 3 counter-trend candles · depth 43.4% · zone 38.2–61.8% ($0.174239–$0.177661).
🔵 Confirmation: 15m close below $0.1694.
🛑 Cancellation of the pilot scenario: 15m close above $0.180097 (78.6% of the impulse).
🧪 This is a separate observation model: it does not change auto-publication filters yet; probability not calculated.
🎯 OBSERVATION PLAN
🔻 SHORT entry: 5m close below $0.17698915 · wait for confirmation.
🛑 SHORT stop/cancel: 5m close above $0.1772.
🎯 TP1 SHORT · 1R: $0.17466667.
🏁 TP2 SHORT · 2R: $0.17656744 · theoretical level.
⚠️ Premium zone not found; these levels are a technical fallback, not an OB/BB or a supply zone.
🔵 Confirmation: wait for a retest of the 15m EMA50 ($0.17698915) and a 5m close below it with volume confirmation.
🛑 Cancel: 5m close above the confirmed swing high $0.1772.
🧪 STATISTICS
📈 Confirmed down impulses in 24h: 4 impulses.
🎲 Probability: numerical percent not calculated — retest outcomes have not been accumulated and verified yet ❗
⚠️ Analytical draft, not a trading recommendation and not a trade team. Verify the levels against the chart and consider your own risk ❗
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