Macro Pressure Is Back — BTC Under Pressure 📉

Markets started the week with a broad risk-off move. Nasdaq, gold and Bitcoin all dropped at the same time, while the US dollar also weakened. That’s unusual for a normal flight-to-safety move and suggests investors are raising cash and cutting leverage across multiple markets.

The main trigger is renewed uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz. With ceasefire talks breaking down, concerns over energy supply pushed oil prices higher again. At the same time, this week brings major US economic data, especially PCE inflation and NFP, which could have a big impact on expectations for the Fed’s next moves.

For $BTC , the setup is getting more difficult. ETF flows are starting to hesitate, options are showing stronger demand for downside protection, and broader deleveraging is putting pressure on risk assets.

I’m still not convinced this means the BTC uptrend is over, but the short-term risk has clearly increased. If ETF inflows weaken further while macro data comes in hot, BTC could revisit lower support levels. For now, I’d rather stay cautious and watch how BTC reacts around key support instead of chasing the move.

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