US Treasuries break above 5.22%, the big pie at 83,297 is just following the drop
Just checked the chart: BTC is currently at 83,297 (down 1.94% in 24h). The 4-hour SAR is capped above 84,962, and the low briefly touched 82,597. Don’t just blame the crypto space—today it’s mainly getting beaten up by “US Treasuries + the US dollar.”
🔻 Macros are too vicious
The 10-year US Treasury is currently at 5.222 (peaked at 5.237), and the dollar is holding at 101. Non-yielding assets are all under pressure. Even gold is falling—so it’s normal for the big pie to retrace along with it.
🔻 Slow money can’t outmuscle fast money
ETFs are buying, but macro “fast money” sells harder. The 4-hour SAR is capping price; around 83,297 it’s grinding to find a base. 82.5万 is the near-term line in the sand (24h low 82,597). If that breaks, look for 80.0–81.0万.
🔻 Wait for the turning point
Watch whether US Treasuries can slip back below 5.1%, whether the dollar can break under 101, or whether PCE/nonfarm later this week cools off. Without clear signals, expect a range-bound wash between 80.0–85.0万.
Can you catch at 825,000? Or are you waiting to bottom at 80,000? Tonight, watch the macro mood below 👇
Just checked the chart: BTC is currently at 83,297 (down 1.94% in 24h). The 4-hour SAR is capped above 84,962, and the low briefly touched 82,597. Don’t just blame the crypto space—today it’s mainly getting beaten up by “US Treasuries + the US dollar.”
🔻 Macros are too vicious
The 10-year US Treasury is currently at 5.222 (peaked at 5.237), and the dollar is holding at 101. Non-yielding assets are all under pressure. Even gold is falling—so it’s normal for the big pie to retrace along with it.
🔻 Slow money can’t outmuscle fast money
ETFs are buying, but macro “fast money” sells harder. The 4-hour SAR is capping price; around 83,297 it’s grinding to find a base. 82.5万 is the near-term line in the sand (24h low 82,597). If that breaks, look for 80.0–81.0万.
🔻 Wait for the turning point
Watch whether US Treasuries can slip back below 5.1%, whether the dollar can break under 101, or whether PCE/nonfarm later this week cools off. Without clear signals, expect a range-bound wash between 80.0–85.0万.
Can you catch at 825,000? Or are you waiting to bottom at 80,000? Tonight, watch the macro mood below 👇
