US Stocks | Morning Express | September 28

【Last Night’s Close】Three major U.S. stock indexes all rose on Friday to finish strong: the S&P 500 rose 0.51%, the Dow Jones rose 0.93%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.48%. Microsoft surged 3.66% after its AI cloud business exceeded expectations to lead the pack. Apple gained 1.53% to hit a new high. Meta fell 3.33% amid antitrust concerns. Strangely, the VIX “fear index” jumped 9.28% against the trend—beneath the calm, differences are brewing.

【Futures Before the Open】On Monday ahead of the open, futures retreated across the board: S&P -0.45%, Nasdaq -0.81%, Dow Jones -0.55%. Asia moved lower in sync. Europe saw broad gains, while WTI crude oil spiked 3.78%, nearing $96. The situation in the Middle East remains a key variable.

【Tonight’s Schedule】Early Tuesday Beijing time: watch the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index for September. Later this week: Wednesday’s August Core PCE and Friday’s September nonfarm payrolls will help determine whether the Fed will hike in October. Current FedWatch probability is 66%.

【Stocks in Focus】Jefferies (JEF) will be in focus on Monday. The main event is Micron’s earnings report after the close on Wednesday. As an AI memory bellwether, comments on HBM4 mass production will influence the semiconductor sector. Nike (NKE) follows up on Thursday.

【IBIT Tracking】IBIT closed at $47.57, down 0.50% on the day. It is down 2.9% over the past five days—clearly weaker than the S&P 500, with institutions pulling back capital in phases.

【Crypto Timing】Bitcoin ($BTC ) has fallen below the $83,000 threshold; over the past 24 hours it is down 2.19%. IBIT tracked lower, Nasdaq futures weakened, and oil prices moved sharply—short-term suggests a bearish/choppy range. Watch whether it can hold the $82,000–$83,000 zone.

💡For Beginners: The VIX jumped 9%, but the index also rose—this is a “divergence” signal. It usually means institutions are hedging with options and the market isn’t truly panicking, like the muggy heat before a thunderstorm.