#XAUUSD XAU/USDT — WEEKLY TRADING PLAN

Price: ~4 158

HTF context: bearish

Key idea of the week: after a strong bearish displacement from 4 288, the price reached 4 146 and swept the sell-side liquidity. Now the main thing is to determine whether this is the start of a correction or a continuation of the HTF decline.

🔴 HTF Structure

On D1/H4, a sequence has been formed:

4 288 → 4 264 → 4 233 → 4 201 → 4 170 → 4 146

Each downward impulse sequentially swept liquidity and formed new inefficiencies.

4 146 — the current key SSL. From here, a correction is possible, but a reversal hasn’t been confirmed yet.

🟢 LONG scenario

Do not buy just after a drop.

Looking for:

Sweep 4 146 → bullish displacement → BOS on M5/M15 → retest FVG/IFVG

Zone of interest:

4 146–4 155

Correction Goals:

4 170 → 4 200–4 205 → 4 230–4 235

Holding above 4 235 will change the short-term structure and open the way to 4 260–4 265.

🔴 SHORT scenario — primary

On the upward retracement, I observe:

4 170–4 190

4 200–4 235

4 260–4 265

In these zones I’m looking for:

Inducement → Liquidity sweep → bearish displacement → IFVG/FVG retest → SHORT

Targets:

4 146 → 4 120 → 4 080 → 3 950

🎯 Weekly Delivery Logic

Buy-side liquidity 4 288
↓
Bearish displacement
↓
FVG/IFVG
↓
SNR 4 233–4 265
↓
Sell-side liquidity 4 146
↓
Retracement / mitigation
↓
Continuation or structural reversal

Key weekly levels:

4 288–4 290 — HTF resistance / liquidity

4 260–4 265 — SNR + imbalance

4 230–4 235 — key structural level

4 200–4 205 — inducement

4 170–4 190 — nearest reaction zone

4 146–4 150 — SSL / current extreme

3 950–3 900 — next HTF liquidity/support

Main weekly rule: don’t enter mid-move. Wait for Liquidity → Inducement → FVG/IFVG → SNR → M5/M15 confirmation$XAU