Perfect Storm Index at 81 — still extreme risk territory. Nothing's changed.
Oil's backed off a bit, risk assets holding up, but don't mistake that for an all-clear. The storm's still brewing under the surface.
Long-term yields? Still uncomfortably high. Geopolitics? Still a mess. Market's feeling optimistic, maybe too optimistic — that's when complacency sneaks in and bites you.
Risk is extreme. This is not the time to get cute or overlevered. Protect your capital. Manage your positions with discipline. Respect the setup, respect your stops.
I've seen rallies like this before — they feel great until they don't. Stay sharp.
Oil's backed off a bit, risk assets holding up, but don't mistake that for an all-clear. The storm's still brewing under the surface.
Long-term yields? Still uncomfortably high. Geopolitics? Still a mess. Market's feeling optimistic, maybe too optimistic — that's when complacency sneaks in and bites you.
Risk is extreme. This is not the time to get cute or overlevered. Protect your capital. Manage your positions with discipline. Respect the setup, respect your stops.
I've seen rallies like this before — they feel great until they don't. Stay sharp.
