Track Watch | Polkadot: Reassessing the Value of the Cross-Chain Ecosystem

Opening viewpoint: As a pioneer project in the cross-chain track, Polkadot has recently demonstrated distinctive resilience amid market turbulence.

Data performance: Over the past 24 hours, the DOT price has fluctuated between $1.21 and $1.31, with an intraday swing of 8.2% and trading volume of 5.44 million USDT. Compared with the September 25 closing price of $1.285, the current price is down by about 4.2%. However, volatility is noticeably higher than the market average.

Technical interpretation: DOT has formed a key support near $1.20. The RSI indicator shows it is in a neutral-to-weak zone. On-chain data indicates that the number of active addresses remains stable, and the daily number of transfers stays around 8,500, suggesting the core user base is still active.

Ecosystem progress: In the Polkadot ecosystem, parallel chains such as Moonbeam continue to roll out new features, and the Kusama network upgrade is progressing smoothly, providing support for DOT’s long-term value.

Investment conclusion: Short-term volatility does not change the long-term logic of the cross-chain track. DOT has relatively high allocation value in the $1.15–$1.25 range.

Risk warning: Competition in the cross-chain track is intense, with risks from technical iteration; regulatory policy uncertainty; and overall market volatility risk.