In the afternoon Asian session, the market looks oddly calm, yet macro news over there has really blown up.
Trump directly rejected the proposal for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude opened up 1.5%, and U.S. oil followed with a rise of over 1%. He’s also seriously considering a ban on diesel exports. Oil prices rise → inflation can’t be contained → Bessent starts urging the Federal Reserve to “remain open” on the inflation outlook. Iran’s parliamentary speaker is even worse: he directly mocked the U.S. 10Y Treasury yield for breaking above 5.1%.
In this liquidity environment, it’s honestly pretty hard for $BTC to try to trade independently and strengthen on its own.
But there’s one number that’s almost magical: Trump said Iran’s inflation is 318%. In the places where the local currency has depreciated more than three times over a year, that’s precisely the most hard-hitting ad slot for the Bitcoin narrative. $ETH $SOL will wobble in the short term with macro sentiment, but in the long run, it still comes down to whether each story plays out.
One more thing in passing: the CEOs of OpenAI and Anthropic were summoned to testify in Australia. With AI regulation tightening, hot money inevitably has to find the next exit.
My stance is simple: until geopolitics is actually settled, consolidation is the main theme. Stay disciplined, don’t overtrade, and keep your ammo.
#BTC #比特币 #宏观经济 #地缘政治 #加密货币
NFA DYOR
Trump directly rejected the proposal for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude opened up 1.5%, and U.S. oil followed with a rise of over 1%. He’s also seriously considering a ban on diesel exports. Oil prices rise → inflation can’t be contained → Bessent starts urging the Federal Reserve to “remain open” on the inflation outlook. Iran’s parliamentary speaker is even worse: he directly mocked the U.S. 10Y Treasury yield for breaking above 5.1%.
In this liquidity environment, it’s honestly pretty hard for $BTC to try to trade independently and strengthen on its own.
But there’s one number that’s almost magical: Trump said Iran’s inflation is 318%. In the places where the local currency has depreciated more than three times over a year, that’s precisely the most hard-hitting ad slot for the Bitcoin narrative. $ETH $SOL will wobble in the short term with macro sentiment, but in the long run, it still comes down to whether each story plays out.
One more thing in passing: the CEOs of OpenAI and Anthropic were summoned to testify in Australia. With AI regulation tightening, hot money inevitably has to find the next exit.
My stance is simple: until geopolitics is actually settled, consolidation is the main theme. Stay disciplined, don’t overtrade, and keep your ammo.
#BTC #比特币 #宏观经济 #地缘政治 #加密货币
NFA DYOR