🚨 US 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 5.20%! Before the PCE Data, Risk Assets Get Cold Feet
After Trump said, “No ruling out further strikes on Iran,” Bitcoin was pushed back to $83,000

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On Monday in the Asian session, Bitcoin fell 1.3% to $83,324. Ethereum and XRP, Solana were down by similar percentages, and Nasdaq futures were down 0.7%. 🔥 Trump said Sunday that he expects the war with Iran to “end very quickly,” but he refused to rule out the possibility of continuing hostilities before the midterm elections in mid-November. Iran’s foreign minister responded that Iran is “fully prepared.” Oil also moved higher, with WTI futures up nearly 1% to $93.28.
What’s really weighing on risk assets is the bond market: the US 10-year Treasury yield has already climbed to 5.20%, the highest level since 2007, up a cumulative 127 basis points from before the outbreak of the war. When geopolitics tightens, inflation expectations rise; when yields are high, valuations get forced down. 📊
But this time, Bitcoin hasn’t crashed. In fact, it gained 42% in Q3, outperforming the Nasdaq and gold—suggesting that between “safe-haven” demand and “anti-inflation” positioning, the market has temporarily given it a vague middle ground. 💡
Some analysts see $83,800 to $84,000 as short-term support, $85,000 to $85,800 as the first resistance zone, and they warn that investors shouldn’t chase at current levels and should keep leverage in check. ⚠️
What’s truly worth watching isn’t just whether the Middle East will strike again, but the three sets of US data coming out this week: PCE inflation, ISM manufacturing, and nonfarm payrolls. They’re the deciding factors for rate-cut expectations—and therefore for whether Bitcoin can hold above $85,000 again.
👀 Do you think this pullback is a short-term retreat due to geopolitical risk, or a buildup ahead of the macro data? Let’s discuss in the comments below 👇
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