September 28, 2026.
Current BNB price is $774, with the moving average line at 748. The price is 3% above the moving average line. The price has returned to the moving average line from an extremely low level.
Current OKB price is $121, with the moving average line at 102. The price is 18% above the moving average line. At the end of the bear market and the beginning of the bull market, the first batch returns to the moving average line.
No matter BNB or OKB.
If the pricing is 30 or 50 points above the moving average line, I absolutely cannot intervene—I’ll only act when the price is extremely higher than the moving average line.
If the price is 100% above the moving average line or higher, it’s short-term overbought.
Only then would I reduce my position in batches.
----------------------------
(09/28, 26) Big Brother Cai’s daily insight:
Frequent intervention is basically no different from frequently trading short-term.
You don’t need to intervene with your trading frequently just because the price is slightly higher or slightly lower. Only when the price moves to extremes should you adjust it.
Without a big rally, there will be no big sell-off.
Once there is a major surge in price, you should learn to rebalance aggressively to reduce the risk of a potential major downside caused by high prices.
Never let a single coin hold all of your positions.
Especially those coins that have already surged several times within a year and are severely overbought in the short term—the potential downside space is already very high.
Excessive greed will only hurt yourself.