📈 Traditional Finance Daily Report | 9.28
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🇺🇸 US Stocks
▪️ After recording gains last week, US stock futures pulled back slightly; the 10-year US Treasury yield hit a multi-year high, clearly weighing on risk appetite 💼
▪️ The probability of a Fed rate hike in October rose to 64.8%; the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) may also consider restarting hikes due to stubborn inflation, keeping expectations of tightening global liquidity on the rise ⚠️
▪️ Trump plans to discuss AI topics with Anthropic’s CEO, but the Pentagon still keeps a “risk” label on Anthropic
🥇 Gold & Commodities
▪️ Iran stated it is “ready to restart a war with the United States,” and geopolitical risks in the Middle East escalated—such as Houthi forces being hit by Saudi airstrikes—supporting safe-haven sentiment for precious metals
▪️ Trump is “seriously considering” banning diesel exports; combined with disruptions on the energy supply side, volatility across the entire commodities complex intensified
🛢️ Crude Oil
▪️ After Trump rejected Iran’s proposal regarding the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices opened higher; Iran’s foreign minister confirmed that it will not hold talks with the US for now, and geopolitical risk premia continue to build 🛢️
🔗 Linkage to BTC
Rising Treasury yields coupled with a renewed increase in rate-hike expectations from the Fed pressures liquidity for non-yielding assets $BTC ; however, escalation of Middle East geopolitical conflicts may cause some funds to rotate toward hard-currency assets. Within crypto, $BNB breaking above 780 USDT and $ETH hovering near 2828 face an estimated short-liquidation risk of about $649 million; leverage battles intensify, so near-term volatility should be closely watched 📊
#TradFi日报 #Macro Market
Markets are risky; invest cautiously. This article does not constitute any investment advice.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🇺🇸 US Stocks
▪️ After recording gains last week, US stock futures pulled back slightly; the 10-year US Treasury yield hit a multi-year high, clearly weighing on risk appetite 💼
▪️ The probability of a Fed rate hike in October rose to 64.8%; the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) may also consider restarting hikes due to stubborn inflation, keeping expectations of tightening global liquidity on the rise ⚠️
▪️ Trump plans to discuss AI topics with Anthropic’s CEO, but the Pentagon still keeps a “risk” label on Anthropic
🥇 Gold & Commodities
▪️ Iran stated it is “ready to restart a war with the United States,” and geopolitical risks in the Middle East escalated—such as Houthi forces being hit by Saudi airstrikes—supporting safe-haven sentiment for precious metals
▪️ Trump is “seriously considering” banning diesel exports; combined with disruptions on the energy supply side, volatility across the entire commodities complex intensified
🛢️ Crude Oil
▪️ After Trump rejected Iran’s proposal regarding the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices opened higher; Iran’s foreign minister confirmed that it will not hold talks with the US for now, and geopolitical risk premia continue to build 🛢️
🔗 Linkage to BTC
Rising Treasury yields coupled with a renewed increase in rate-hike expectations from the Fed pressures liquidity for non-yielding assets $BTC ; however, escalation of Middle East geopolitical conflicts may cause some funds to rotate toward hard-currency assets. Within crypto, $BNB breaking above 780 USDT and $ETH hovering near 2828 face an estimated short-liquidation risk of about $649 million; leverage battles intensify, so near-term volatility should be closely watched 📊
#TradFi日报 #Macro Market
Markets are risky; invest cautiously. This article does not constitute any investment advice.