Earnings report window: look at guidance first, then profits
Don’t use last week’s rate-cut story to explain today’s market.
These macro points are current prices, not memories:
US 10Y Treasury 5.18% (5-day +4.45%)
NASDAQ 27,069 (5-day +2.06%, Yahoo)
Gold 4,321 (5-day -1.26%, Yahoo)
So: the US 10Y yield is 5.18%, and over the next 5 days it rises another +4.45%. The long end is draining liquidity; the valuation narratives for growth stocks and BTC have to make way.
Crypto: BTC 84,635 (+0.65%), funding rate 0.0030% (8h, Binance U-margined). ETH 24h +0.23% is weaker than BTC +0.65%; the FX rate is 0.03178. Liquidity is shrinking toward BTC—stand by first for altcoins on the right side.
VIX is 14.87 now. Once it breaks above 18, I’ll cut contract positions in half—I won’t argue with US stock closing prices.
My positioning: only buy pullbacks, never chase breakouts. If the structure hasn’t broken, I’ll keep the core position; any add-ons must wait for a pullback setup.
Data: Binance spot 24h / Binance U-margined / Yahoo daily (5-day up/down). Missing numbers don’t get filled.
Are you currently flat waiting for a pullback, or already on the train?
#宏观 #BTC #US stocks
Data card (same round as the正文; the missing items are hyphens):
BTC 84,635 +0.65% Binance spot 24h
ETH 2,690 +0.23% ETH/BTC 0.03178
S&P 7,743 +1.21% Yahoo 5-day
NASDAQ 27,069 +2.06% Yahoo 5-day
US Dollar 101 +0.43% DXY 5-day
VIX 14.87 +0.00% Yahoo
Funding rate 0.0030% Position 8.02B (24h +1.27) Long/Short 1.1901 Binance U-margined
Supporting evidence: out there people are discussing “"bitcoin OR stock market OR 美股" - Google News”. I only take it as background; the conclusion still relies on the numbers in the正文.
Personal view—numbers are from the sources in the正文. Not a trading instruction.
Don’t use last week’s rate-cut story to explain today’s market.
These macro points are current prices, not memories:
US 10Y Treasury 5.18% (5-day +4.45%)
NASDAQ 27,069 (5-day +2.06%, Yahoo)
Gold 4,321 (5-day -1.26%, Yahoo)
So: the US 10Y yield is 5.18%, and over the next 5 days it rises another +4.45%. The long end is draining liquidity; the valuation narratives for growth stocks and BTC have to make way.
Crypto: BTC 84,635 (+0.65%), funding rate 0.0030% (8h, Binance U-margined). ETH 24h +0.23% is weaker than BTC +0.65%; the FX rate is 0.03178. Liquidity is shrinking toward BTC—stand by first for altcoins on the right side.
VIX is 14.87 now. Once it breaks above 18, I’ll cut contract positions in half—I won’t argue with US stock closing prices.
My positioning: only buy pullbacks, never chase breakouts. If the structure hasn’t broken, I’ll keep the core position; any add-ons must wait for a pullback setup.
Data: Binance spot 24h / Binance U-margined / Yahoo daily (5-day up/down). Missing numbers don’t get filled.
Are you currently flat waiting for a pullback, or already on the train?
#宏观 #BTC #US stocks
Data card (same round as the正文; the missing items are hyphens):
BTC 84,635 +0.65% Binance spot 24h
ETH 2,690 +0.23% ETH/BTC 0.03178
S&P 7,743 +1.21% Yahoo 5-day
NASDAQ 27,069 +2.06% Yahoo 5-day
US Dollar 101 +0.43% DXY 5-day
VIX 14.87 +0.00% Yahoo
Funding rate 0.0030% Position 8.02B (24h +1.27) Long/Short 1.1901 Binance U-margined
Supporting evidence: out there people are discussing “"bitcoin OR stock market OR 美股" - Google News”. I only take it as background; the conclusion still relies on the numbers in the正文.
Personal view—numbers are from the sources in the正文. Not a trading instruction.