Just write a couple of lines ahead of the US stock market open.

First read the numbers for US stocks, then decide whether to follow the crypto market.

Use today’s high/low for the technical levels; don’t force old support levels onto the current chart.

US 10Y Treasury 5.18% (5-day +4.45%)
Gold 4,321 (5-day -1.26%, Yahoo)

BTC 24h high 84,884 / low 83,838, current price 84,830. Nasdaq 5-day +2.06% outperforms the S&P 500 +1.21%. Risk appetite is still with growth stocks—not a full-blown bull market. If you follow crypto, follow the Nasdaq’s elasticity, not the Dow.

ETH +0.87% roughly follows BTC +0.67%, sticking close. FX rate 0.03207. If there’s no independent行情, don’t make a single bet on small-cap alts.

VIX is 14.87 right now. If it breaks above 18, I’ll cut contract positions in half—I won’t argue with the US stock market closing price.

My positioning: only buy pullbacks, never chase breakouts. If the structure hasn’t broken, keep the core position; any adding must wait for a pullback entry.

Data: Binance spot 24h / Binance U-margined / Yahoo daily (5-day up/down). Missing numbers aren’t filled in.
meme—when it hasn’t outperformed BTC, are you still holding it?

#美股 #技术面 #BTC

Data card (same round as the main text; the missing part is where the hyphens would be):
BTC 84,830 +0.67% Binance spot 24h
ETH 2,720 +0.87% ETH/BTC 0.03207
S&P 7,743 +1.21% Yahoo 5-day
Nasdaq 27,069 +2.06% Yahoo 5-day
US Dollar 101 +0.43% DXY 5-day
VIX 14.87 +0.00% Yahoo
Fee rate 0.0024% Open interest 8.03B (24h +0.60) Long/short 1.2779 Binance U-margined

Additional reference: people are chatting about “"bitcoin OR stock market OR 美股" - Google News” out there. I only use it as background—the conclusion is still based on the main-text numbers.

My personal view: the numbers are sourced in the main text. Not an order to trade.