Brothers, tonight at 2:00 FOMC—doesn’t it mean there’s no clear direction again? Are you just getting ready to listen to other people’s trade calls? Do you feel that whether they raise rates or not, gold is going up?
No beating around the bush, no playing ping-pong—that’s Athel’s usual style: let’s be direct—I don’t buy into that whole consensus.
First, a question: when has “consensus” ever been right?
Most people in the market talk the way prices move. If it rises, they say it should rise; if it falls, they say it should fall. That’s not analysis—that’s just repeating.
The real signal isn’t in people’s mouths. It’s in the price. Go look at how gold has been moving recently—more honest than anyone’s prediction.
Now let’s talk about the rate hike.
My view is simple: this time, they won’t raise rates.
It’s not because the data is so great, but because at this point, the cost of a rate hike is something nobody can afford.
But remember—making a judgment is one thing, managing your position is another. Don’t mix the two.
If you think it’ll go up, it doesn’t mean you can load up with heavy size, and it definitely doesn’t mean you should go all in.
So what should you do tonight?
1 Don’t guess the direction—let the price speak for itself.
2 Scale in with partial entries; don’t fire all your bullets at once.
3 Don’t touch high leverage. Don’t use heavy positions. And definitely don’t touch contracts.
4 Before the news hits, keep some cash on hand—nothing beats that.
I’m putting my thoughts out there in advance. If I’m right, you don’t need to praise me; if I’m wrong, go ahead and scold me.
I’m not a god—I’m just an old weed from eight years in the market.
Tonight at 2:00—we’ll see you in the livestream. Let’s talk face to face.
Follow Athel—for value.
Follow Athel—through the bull and the bear.
#币安 #加息 #黄金 $BNB
No beating around the bush, no playing ping-pong—that’s Athel’s usual style: let’s be direct—I don’t buy into that whole consensus.
First, a question: when has “consensus” ever been right?
Most people in the market talk the way prices move. If it rises, they say it should rise; if it falls, they say it should fall. That’s not analysis—that’s just repeating.
The real signal isn’t in people’s mouths. It’s in the price. Go look at how gold has been moving recently—more honest than anyone’s prediction.
Now let’s talk about the rate hike.
My view is simple: this time, they won’t raise rates.
It’s not because the data is so great, but because at this point, the cost of a rate hike is something nobody can afford.
But remember—making a judgment is one thing, managing your position is another. Don’t mix the two.
If you think it’ll go up, it doesn’t mean you can load up with heavy size, and it definitely doesn’t mean you should go all in.
So what should you do tonight?
1 Don’t guess the direction—let the price speak for itself.
2 Scale in with partial entries; don’t fire all your bullets at once.
3 Don’t touch high leverage. Don’t use heavy positions. And definitely don’t touch contracts.
4 Before the news hits, keep some cash on hand—nothing beats that.
I’m putting my thoughts out there in advance. If I’m right, you don’t need to praise me; if I’m wrong, go ahead and scold me.
I’m not a god—I’m just an old weed from eight years in the market.
Tonight at 2:00—we’ll see you in the livestream. Let’s talk face to face.
Follow Athel—for value.
Follow Athel—through the bull and the bear.
#币安 #加息 #黄金 $BNB