$ETH 🟢 $ETH : Spot ETF back and whales accumulating — target at $2 780 tomorrow
📊 Current price: ~2 690 $. +2.8% over 7 days, +7% over 1 month, +70% over 90 days. Reached ~2 804 $ in the week before correcting.
📐 ICT analysis
• Daily: bullish BOS confirmed (breakout of the range $2 370–$2 530), price above the 20/50/100/200 EMAs. No bearish CHoCH.
• Key discount zone: $2 560–2 600 — former resistance turned support, aligned with the September flag breakout (~$2 540) and the 50-week SMA (~$2 542). The shelf to hold.
• Immediate support: 2,668 $ (recent low), then 2,600–2,660 $.
• Resistance: 2,737 $ (immediate), then FVG/rejection zone 2,775–2,825 $ (where the rally topped out since 2,804 $). Above: 2,894 $ then 3,000 $ (psychological + liquidity).
• Bullish order block: 2,640–2,670 $. As long as it holds, the short-term bullish trend remains.
🏛️ Fundamentals
• Spot ETH ETF: 4 consecutive sessions of positive net flows (~$104.6M); BlackRock’s ETHA alone brought in $50.8M on Sept 23.
• Large holders: accumulation of ~260,000 ETH recently.
• Tokenization: ARK launches an Ethereum-backed fund—strong institutional demand.
• Brake to watch: US bond yields ~5.2% capping risk appetite; volume down by 16%.
🎯 Tomorrow’s scenario — UNIQUE: BULLISH
• Thesis: hold above 2,668 $, break above 2,737 $, retest the liquidity 2,775–2,800 $.
• Long entry: retest 2,670–2,690 $.
• Invalidation: 4h close below 2,640 $ (below the OB) → return toward 2,560–2,600 $.
• Levels: S1 2,668 · S2 2,600 · S3 2,540 | R1 2,737 · R2 2,775–2,804 · R3 2,894.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is purely educational and informational and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an incentive to buy or sell. Cryptocurrencies are volatile and unpredictable; this scenario is a probability, not a certainty. Do your own research (DYOR), manage your risk (stop-loss, position sizing), and invest only what you can afford to lose. I am not responsible for your losses.
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