💥 MACRO IMPACT BULLETIN: FISCAL DEFICIT AND GLOBAL LIQUIDITY ADJUSTMENT

Trading Plan ($DOT /USDT)

🟢 LONG STRATEGY (BUY):
Entry Zone: $1.215 – $1.232 USDT (Entry within the current range, taking advantage of the MA7 support)

Stop Loss (SL): $1.190 USDT (Technical invalidation below the previous wick low and before the MA25)

TP1: $1.265 USDT (Intermediate resistance)
TP2: $1.306 USDT (Retest of the local high)
TP3: $1.340 USDT (Extension of the move)

🔴 SHORT STRATEGY (SELL / CORRECTION):
Entry Trigger: Close of a 4H candle below $1.210 USDT (confirmed loss of the support zone of the wick)

Stop Loss (SL): $1.245 USDT

TP1: $1.176 USDT (Retest of the MA25)
TP2: $1.140 USDT (Prior consolidation floor)

The crypto market reacts to the release of global economic data and monetary policy adjustments. High-frequency liquidity is rapidly repositioned to key institutional levels.

📊 Official Data: Increase in macroeconomic volatility and pressure on bond profitability versus expectations of rate cuts by central banks.

🌊 Impact on $BTC / Crypto: Chain reaction on the most capitalized pairs. Polkadot ($DOT ) trades at $1.230 USD, keeping a bullish impulse structure above the MA(7) at $1.234 USD, the MA(25) at $1.176 USD, and the MA(99) at $1.098 USD.

🛡️ Tactical SMC Scenario:

Alpha Scenario (Bullish): Sweep of lower liquidity and mitigation of the Demand OB at $1.210 – $1.230 USD (with support zone at the defensive wick at $1.214 USD). A confirmed rebound in this range enables the search for external liquidity at the prior high of $1.306 USD and projections toward $1.340 USD.

Beta Scenario (Bearish): Bearish structure break (BOS) after a 4H candle close below $1.210 USD, opening the way toward mitigation of the immediate MA25 support at $1.176 USD and the prior consolidation floor at $1.140 USD