Earnings report window: read the guidance first, then look at the profits
First, finish the numbers for the U.S. stocks, then decide whether to follow the crypto market.
These macro points are at the current price, not memories:
VIX 14.87 (5-day +0.00%)
Nasdaq 27,069 (5-day +2.06%, Yahoo)
Gold 4,321 (5-day -1.43%, Yahoo)
So: the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is 5.18%, and over the next 5 days it could rise again by +4.45%. The long end is draining liquidity; the valuation stories for growth stocks and BTC have to make way.
Crypto: BTC 84,028 (-0.64%), funding rate 0.0017% (8h, Binance U-margined). ETH -0.77% tracks alongside BTC -0.64%, exchange rate 0.03193. If there’s no independent trend, don’t bet on low-cap alts.
For crypto, I’m only watching one thing: whether BTC can close above the 24h high of 85,255. If it can’t, then any rally is just talk.
My position: I only do pullback entries, not breakout chasing. If the structure hasn’t broken, keep the core position; any add-ons must wait for a pullback.
Data: Binance spot 24h / Binance U-margined / Yahoo daily (5-day up/down). Missing numbers won’t be filled in.
meme—when it hasn’t outperformed BTC, are you still holding it?
#宏观 #BTC #US stocks
Data card (same round as the main text; missing is the dash):
BTC 84,028 -0.64% Binance spot 24h
ETH 2,683 -0.77% ETH/BTC 0.03193
S&P 7,743 +1.21% Yahoo 5-day
Nasdaq 27,069 +2.06% Yahoo 5-day
Dollar 101 +0.60% DXY 5-day
VIX 14.87 +0.00% Yahoo
Funding rate 0.0017% Open interest 7.98B (24h -1.98) Long/Short 1.292 Binance U-margined
Additional reference: out there people are discussing “\"bitcoin OR stock market OR 美股\" - Google News”. I’m only using it as background—the conclusion still depends on the numbers in the main text.
My personal view: the numbers come from the sources in the main text. This is not a trading instruction.
First, finish the numbers for the U.S. stocks, then decide whether to follow the crypto market.
These macro points are at the current price, not memories:
VIX 14.87 (5-day +0.00%)
Nasdaq 27,069 (5-day +2.06%, Yahoo)
Gold 4,321 (5-day -1.43%, Yahoo)
So: the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is 5.18%, and over the next 5 days it could rise again by +4.45%. The long end is draining liquidity; the valuation stories for growth stocks and BTC have to make way.
Crypto: BTC 84,028 (-0.64%), funding rate 0.0017% (8h, Binance U-margined). ETH -0.77% tracks alongside BTC -0.64%, exchange rate 0.03193. If there’s no independent trend, don’t bet on low-cap alts.
For crypto, I’m only watching one thing: whether BTC can close above the 24h high of 85,255. If it can’t, then any rally is just talk.
My position: I only do pullback entries, not breakout chasing. If the structure hasn’t broken, keep the core position; any add-ons must wait for a pullback.
Data: Binance spot 24h / Binance U-margined / Yahoo daily (5-day up/down). Missing numbers won’t be filled in.
meme—when it hasn’t outperformed BTC, are you still holding it?
#宏观 #BTC #US stocks
Data card (same round as the main text; missing is the dash):
BTC 84,028 -0.64% Binance spot 24h
ETH 2,683 -0.77% ETH/BTC 0.03193
S&P 7,743 +1.21% Yahoo 5-day
Nasdaq 27,069 +2.06% Yahoo 5-day
Dollar 101 +0.60% DXY 5-day
VIX 14.87 +0.00% Yahoo
Funding rate 0.0017% Open interest 7.98B (24h -1.98) Long/Short 1.292 Binance U-margined
Additional reference: out there people are discussing “\"bitcoin OR stock market OR 美股\" - Google News”. I’m only using it as background—the conclusion still depends on the numbers in the main text.
My personal view: the numbers come from the sources in the main text. This is not a trading instruction.