Before bed, set up the BTC order
【Short】 at the current price 83,800, place limit orders and wait for the fill
Basically, short directly at 83,800. Take profit when it hits, stop loss at 85,562—if it moves above, admit you’re wrong.
· Support below at 83,183—when it drops near there, someone will catch it
· Resistance above at 85,255—when price rises near there, it’s likely to be sold off

How to do it (Short):
· Entry: short directly at current price 83,800
· Stop loss: 85,562 (loss of 2.1% is enough—don’t hold on)
· Take profit: 78,515 (first target; when it reaches, reduce by half first)
· Position sizing: try with 1–2% of your money first; don’t go all-in
⚠️ The 4H big picture hasn’t fully played out yet—this trade is against the smaller timeframe. Cut the position size by half; don’t move the stop loss.

(Win rate is based on historical data and isn’t guaranteed; if you follow, you must set a stop loss and control position size)

Trade first: look at the larger timeframe to set the direction, then use the smaller timeframe to find the location.

Let me give a ready-made example using $BTC : current price 83,800, MACD dead cross pointing downward. Using the standards above: short on the bounce at 83,800, stop loss 85,562, target 76,528. 24h trading volume is 1595.5M, and volume is still there—showing funds haven’t left. 24h change is -0.3%.

The short-term range is very clear: support 83,183, resistance 85,255. If you short, use resistance as the line of defense.

I personally shorted once directly at the current price 83,800, with stop loss 85,562, using a light position.

When it reaches 76,528, reduce by half first; then decide whether to hold the rest.

If it breaks through 83,183 directly, it means the short is right—but remember to push the stop loss down near your entry price, so a winning trade doesn’t turn into a losing one.

Funding rate is +0.0033%, long and short are relatively balanced—not at an extreme.

Let’s do the math: down to support 83,183 is 0.7%, up to resistance 85,255 is 1.7%. The room here isn’t enough to cover the risk—don’t act at this level.

Don’t rush to exit when it breaks below 83,183—there’s also the 82,875 level below.

If you have different opinions, come to the comments section and debate it.

#BTC #比特币 #crypto

【Live Scan · $BTC 】(1-hour main thread + 4H filter)
4H trend: strong bearish | 1H setup: not fully confirmed yet (keep waiting)
Long/short score: 9 points (bearish alignment +3 | MACD bearish +1 | below zero line +1 | RSI stabilizing +1 | close to EMA20 +1 | top reversal +2)
Current price 83,800 RSI 31.79 Support 83,183 / Resistance 85,255
Conclusion: bearish score is dominant (pattern not fully confirmed) → treat it as bearish; wait to short on a bounce to the resistance level

$BTC