Observing the US Stock Market Rhythm: Where Are the Front-Running Troops
The US stock market has been getting a lot of attention these past two days, so let’s discuss the relevant tape.
Today, there’s no new narrative in the US stock market—only price moves and percentage changes.
Which sector is leading and which is lagging? Look at the gain/loss percentages, not the stories.
Dow 51,350 (5-day -0.83%, Yahoo)
VIX 15.67 (5-day +5.81%)
Crude oil 94.76 (5-day -1.06%, Yahoo)
Outlook: With VIX at 15.67, volatility is being suppressed. At this level, the US stock market is prone to a slow grind higher. Don’t use the US stock market’s upside to add leverage in the crypto market—once VIX spikes, the contracts will die first.
Capital flows: BTC 84,296 (-0.15%). ETH +0.29% is stronger than BTC -0.15%, with the exchange rate at 0.03185. This looks like risk appetite spilling over—not a single BTC battle.
If the fee rate moves from near zero up to above 0.01%, that suggests the bulls are starting to sprint ahead. I’ll wait for a pullback and won’t chase a breakout.
My position: I’m on standby. Price hasn’t chosen a side, and I haven’t paid for leverage. Opening a trade now is basically working for the exchange.
Data: Binance spot 24h / Binance U-margined basis / Yahoo daily (5-day gain/loss). Missing numbers won’t be made up.
The dollar is still strong—how much are you prepared to cut your crypto position?
#美股 #板块 #BTC
Personal view: the numbers are in the main text source. This is not a trading instruction.
The US stock market has been getting a lot of attention these past two days, so let’s discuss the relevant tape.
Today, there’s no new narrative in the US stock market—only price moves and percentage changes.
Which sector is leading and which is lagging? Look at the gain/loss percentages, not the stories.
Dow 51,350 (5-day -0.83%, Yahoo)
VIX 15.67 (5-day +5.81%)
Crude oil 94.76 (5-day -1.06%, Yahoo)
Outlook: With VIX at 15.67, volatility is being suppressed. At this level, the US stock market is prone to a slow grind higher. Don’t use the US stock market’s upside to add leverage in the crypto market—once VIX spikes, the contracts will die first.
Capital flows: BTC 84,296 (-0.15%). ETH +0.29% is stronger than BTC -0.15%, with the exchange rate at 0.03185. This looks like risk appetite spilling over—not a single BTC battle.
If the fee rate moves from near zero up to above 0.01%, that suggests the bulls are starting to sprint ahead. I’ll wait for a pullback and won’t chase a breakout.
My position: I’m on standby. Price hasn’t chosen a side, and I haven’t paid for leverage. Opening a trade now is basically working for the exchange.
Data: Binance spot 24h / Binance U-margined basis / Yahoo daily (5-day gain/loss). Missing numbers won’t be made up.
The dollar is still strong—how much are you prepared to cut your crypto position?
#美股 #板块 #BTC
Personal view: the numbers are in the main text source. This is not a trading instruction.